Fourth Down Data
California3-6 · ACC@Virginia4-5 · ACC
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Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium· Virginia -12 · O/U 47.5
Rest 14d / 14dTravel 2,360 mi / 0 miForecast: 46°F · wind 14 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Virginia -12 · O/U 47.5
opened Virginia -12.5, now Virginia -12
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
California as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-7 ATS (9 games) · 3-6 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 11-15 ATS (26 games) · 12-14 O/U (26 games)
Virginia as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-5-1 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 1-4-1 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 14-13 ATS (27 games) · 9-17-1 O/U (27 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalVirginia · 7 of 9
358.1
Yards / game
357.4
1.69
Points / drive
2.13
2.4
TDs / game
3.2
35.5
3rd-down %
30.0
53.6
RZ TD %
60.6
0.1
Turnover margin
0.3
1.7
Sacks / game
1.9
4.0
TFL / game
5.2
9.4
Havoc / game
12.3
61.0 / 39.0
Pass / Rush split
42.0 / 58.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When California has the ball
California's early-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Virginia's early-down defense ranks 75th of 138.
California's passing-down offense ranks 109th of 138. Virginia's passing-down defense ranks 69th of 138.
California's third-down offense ranks 90th of 138. Virginia's third-down defense ranks 69th of 138.
California's red-zone offense ranks 63rd of 138. Virginia's red-zone defense ranks 86th of 138.
When Virginia has the ball
Virginia's early-down offense ranks 72nd of 138. California's early-down defense ranks 108th of 138.
Virginia's passing-down offense ranks 127th of 138. California's passing-down defense ranks 78th of 138.
Virginia's third-down offense ranks 114th of 138. California's third-down defense ranks 118th of 138.
Virginia's red-zone offense ranks 102nd of 138. California's red-zone defense ranks 57th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.188 last 3 vs -0.062 season (-0.126)
▼Defense form0.352 last 3 vs 0.063 season (+0.289)
▼Offense form-0.187 last 3 vs -0.014 season (-0.173)
Defense formabout the same(0.021 last 3 vs -0.018 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJaron-Keawe Sagapolutele — 1751 yd, 11 TD
RushingAdam Mohammed — 363 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingChase Hendricks — 565 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBeau Pribula — 1581 yd, 14 TD
RushingJekail Middlebrook — 513 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingDa’Shawn Martin — 366 yd, 6 TD