Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET· Carter-Finley Stadium
Rest 7d / 8dTravel 2,390 mi / 0 miForecast: 69°F · wind 9 mph · Partially cloudy
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNC State · 5 of 9
378.4
Yards / game
419.9
1.80
Points / drive
2.74
2.7
TDs / game
4.1
37.5
3rd-down %
52.5
56.5
RZ TD %
70.0
0.3
Turnover margin
-0.1
2.0
Sacks / game
1.3
4.6
TFL / game
3.1
10.7
Havoc / game
9.7
61.2 / 38.8
Pass / Rush split
47.8 / 52.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When California has the ball
California's early-down offense ranks 82nd of 138. NC State's early-down defense ranks 123rd of 138.
California's passing-down offense ranks 111th of 138. NC State's passing-down defense ranks 119th of 138.
California's third-down offense ranks 90th of 138. NC State's third-down defense ranks 92nd of 138.
California's red-zone offense ranks 84th of 138. NC State's red-zone defense ranks 126th of 138.
When NC State has the ball
NC State's early-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. California's early-down defense ranks 82nd of 138.
NC State's passing-down offense ranks 43rd of 138. California's passing-down defense ranks 53rd of 138.
NC State's third-down offense ranks 20th of 138. California's third-down defense ranks 124th of 138.
NC State's red-zone offense ranks 64th of 138. California's red-zone defense ranks 19th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.101 last 3 vs -0.042 season (-0.059)
▼Defense form0.275 last 3 vs 0.027 season (+0.247)
Offense formabout the same(0.060 last 3 vs 0.091 season)
▼Defense form0.240 last 3 vs 0.042 season (+0.198)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJaron-Keawe Sagapolutele — 1290 yd, 9 TD
RushingAdam Mohammed — 336 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingChase Hendricks — 415 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCJ Bailey — 1763 yd, 11 TD
RushingJayden Duke Scott — 358 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingKeenan Jackson — 456 yd, 6 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
California offense
82ndof 138-0.002326 plays
vs
NC State defense · allowed
123rdof 1380.084California defense · allowed
82ndof 1380.012vs
NC State offense
83rdof 138-0.005322 plays
Passing downs
California offense
111thof 138-0.111180 plays
vs
NC State defense · allowed
119thof 1380.206149 plays
California defense · allowed
53rdof 138-0.056169 plays
vs
NC State offense
43rdof 1380.121170 plays
Third down
California offense
90thof 138-0.007106 plays
vs
NC State defense · allowed
92ndof 1380.08888 plays
California defense · allowed
124thof 1380.285100 plays
vs
NC State offense
20thof 1380.347102 plays
Red zone
California offense
84thof 138-0.04252 plays · small sample
vs
NC State defense · allowed
126thof 1380.28561 plays
California defense · allowed
19thof 138-0.25361 plays
vs
NC State offense
64thof 1380.03073 plays
Field advancement
California offense
92ndof 13844.9%vs
NC State defense · allowed
87thof 13845.6%California defense · allowed
91stof 13846.3%vs
NC State offense
55thof 13851.1%Away
Home
California Offense vs NC State DefenseNC State · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.17#103
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#122-0.27
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.049#96
435 plays
EPA/Play
#1240.123
allowed · 390 plays
-0.068#99
264 plays
EPA/Pass
#1320.219
allowed · 201 plays
-0.019#88
171 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#830.020
allowed · 189 plays
41.4%#129
435 plays
Success Rate
#10747.9%
allowed · 390 plays
38.6%#122
Pass Success Rate
#10045.5%
allowed
45.6%#103
Rush Success Rate
#6446.6%
allowed
44.9%#92
Available Yards %
#8745.6%
allowed
72.3#105
Net Field Position
#6071.8
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.002#82
326 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1230.084
allowed
7.1#80
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1276.2
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
California Defense vs NC State OffenseNC State · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.12#102
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#460.12
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.079#110
allowed · 379 plays
EPA/Play
#440.084
417 plays
-0.073#49
allowed · 176 plays
EPA/Pass
#210.180
201 plays
0.210#135
allowed · 203 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#78-0.005
216 plays
42.7%#39
allowed · 379 plays
Success Rate
#4448.9%
417 plays
40.8%#46
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#2651.7%
41.2%#19
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#9746.3%
46.3%#91
allowed
Available Yards %
#5551.1%
69.5#108
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#9972.0
0.012#82
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#83-0.005
322 plays
6.9#91
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#606.7
2026 · Situational EPANC State · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.058
434 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.094
431 plays
0.092
400 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.105
400 plays
-0.042
52 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.030
73 plays
-0.253
61 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.285
61 plays
-0.007
106 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.347
102 plays
0.285
100 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.088
88 plays