Fourth Down Data
Fresno State3-1 · Pac-12@Washington State1-3 · Pac-12
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Sat, Oct 3, 9:30 PM ET· Martin Stadium· Washington State -2.5 · O/U 45.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 698 mi / 0 miForecast: 67°F · wind 2 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Washington State -2.5 · O/U 45.5
opened Washington State -1, now Washington State -2.5 · total opened 46.5, now 45.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Fresno State as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 9-6 ATS (15 games) · 7-8 O/U (15 games)
Washington State as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 12-8 ATS (20 games) · 8-12 O/U (20 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalFresno State · 8 of 9
365.3
Yards / game
313.8
2.37
Points / drive
1.55
3.3
TDs / game
2.0
36.2
3rd-down %
28.9
57.1
RZ TD %
60.0
1.8
Turnover margin
-1.0
2.3
Sacks / game
1.0
5.3
TFL / game
4.0
12.0
Havoc / game
8.5
44.4 / 55.6
Pass / Rush split
45.2 / 54.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Fresno State has the ball
Fresno State's early-down offense ranks 36th of 138. Washington State's early-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
Fresno State's passing-down offense ranks 18th of 138. Washington State's passing-down defense ranks 89th of 138.
Fresno State's third-down offense ranks 112th of 138. Washington State's third-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
Fresno State's red-zone offense ranks 123rd of 138. Washington State's red-zone defense ranks 57th of 138.
When Washington State has the ball
Washington State's early-down offense ranks 96th of 138. Fresno State's early-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
Washington State's passing-down offense ranks 126th of 138. Fresno State's passing-down defense ranks 32nd of 138.
Washington State's third-down offense ranks 127th of 138. Fresno State's third-down defense ranks 41st of 138.
Washington State's red-zone offense ranks 52nd of 138. Fresno State's red-zone defense ranks 40th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.122 last 3 vs -0.032 season (+0.154)
▲Defense form-0.187 last 3 vs -0.076 season (-0.111)
Offense formabout the same(-0.069 last 3 vs -0.095 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.022 last 3 vs 0.005 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Mandal — 789 yd, 6 TD
RushingRayshon Luke — 240 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingJosiah Freeman — 261 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCaden Pinnick — 644 yd, 3 TD
RushingKirby Vorhees — 210 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingDaniel Blood — 161 yd, 0 TD