Fourth Down Data
Fresno State5-4 · Pac-12@Texas State5-4 · Pac-12
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Sat, Nov 14, 4:00 PM ET· Bobcat Stadium· Texas State -9.5 · O/U 60.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,344 mi / 0 miForecast: 66°F · wind 9 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Texas State -9.5 · O/U 60.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Fresno State as road underdog
2026 overall: 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 0-3 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 10-7 ATS (17 games) · 7-10 O/U (17 games)
Texas State as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 12-15 ATS (27 games) · 13-14 O/U (27 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalTexas State · 5 of 9
347.6
Yards / game
517.0
2.35
Points / drive
3.08
3.1
TDs / game
4.8
36.7
3rd-down %
54.6
57.6
RZ TD %
61.0
1.0
Turnover margin
-0.4
2.4
Sacks / game
1.3
5.3
TFL / game
5.1
12.6
Havoc / game
11.4
46.8 / 53.2
Pass / Rush split
38.7 / 61.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Fresno State has the ball
Fresno State's early-down offense ranks 44th of 138. Texas State's early-down defense ranks 105th of 138.
Fresno State's passing-down offense ranks 5th of 138. Texas State's passing-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
Fresno State's third-down offense ranks 66th of 138. Texas State's third-down defense ranks 121st of 138.
Fresno State's red-zone offense ranks 110th of 138. Texas State's red-zone defense ranks 104th of 138.
When Texas State has the ball
Texas State's early-down offense ranks 15th of 138. Fresno State's early-down defense ranks 67th of 138.
Texas State's passing-down offense ranks 4th of 138. Fresno State's passing-down defense ranks 63rd of 138.
Texas State's third-down offense ranks 11th of 138. Fresno State's third-down defense ranks 24th of 138.
Texas State's red-zone offense ranks 75th of 138. Fresno State's red-zone defense ranks 15th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.073 last 3 vs 0.036 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.073 last 3 vs -0.079 season)
▼Offense form0.102 last 3 vs 0.200 season (-0.098)
▲Defense form-0.056 last 3 vs 0.078 season (-0.135)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Mandal — 1857 yd, 11 TD
RushingBryson Donelson — 422 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingJosiah Freeman — 647 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBrad Jackson — 2147 yd, 19 TD
RushingTorrance Burgess Jr. — 1118 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingChris Dawn, Jr. — 515 yd, 5 TD