Fourth Down Data
Fresno State4-2 · Pac-12@San Diego State2-4 · Pac-12
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Sat, Oct 17, 10:30 PM ET· Snapdragon Stadium· Fresno State -9.5 · O/U 44.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 316 mi / 0 miForecast: 77°F · wind 8 mph · Clear
Market context
Fresno State -9.5 · O/U 44.5
opened Fresno State -8.5, now Fresno State -9.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Fresno State as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 11-11 ATS (22 games) · 11-11 O/U (22 games)
San Diego State as home underdog
2026 overall: 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 9-5 ATS (14 games) · 6-8 O/U (14 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalFresno State · 8 of 9
363.7
Yards / game
277.7
2.45
Points / drive
1.33
3.2
TDs / game
2.3
37.1
3rd-down %
26.9
54.2
RZ TD %
68.4
1.3
Turnover margin
-0.3
2.3
Sacks / game
1.7
4.8
TFL / game
4.7
11.7
Havoc / game
11.3
48.6 / 51.4
Pass / Rush split
44.0 / 56.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Fresno State has the ball
Fresno State's early-down offense ranks 30th of 138. San Diego State's early-down defense ranks 122nd of 138.
Fresno State's passing-down offense ranks 7th of 138. San Diego State's passing-down defense ranks 114th of 138.
Fresno State's third-down offense ranks 96th of 138. San Diego State's third-down defense ranks 72nd of 138.
Fresno State's red-zone offense ranks 114th of 138. San Diego State's red-zone defense ranks 76th of 138.
When San Diego State has the ball
San Diego State's early-down offense ranks 134th of 138. Fresno State's early-down defense ranks 45th of 138.
San Diego State's passing-down offense ranks 72nd of 138. Fresno State's passing-down defense ranks 69th of 138.
San Diego State's third-down offense ranks 109th of 138. Fresno State's third-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
San Diego State's red-zone offense ranks 53rd of 138. Fresno State's red-zone defense ranks 33rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.146 last 3 vs 0.017 season (+0.129)
▼Defense form-0.011 last 3 vs -0.082 season (+0.071)
▼Offense form-0.451 last 3 vs -0.255 season (-0.197)
▼Defense form0.139 last 3 vs 0.064 season (+0.076)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Mandal — 1252 yd, 8 TD
RushingRayshon Luke — 286 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingJosiah Freeman — 375 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Denegal — 787 yd, 6 TD
RushingJavion Kinnard — 355 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingNathan Acevedo — 177 yd, 2 TD