Fourth Down Data
Wyoming2-2 · Mountain West@North Dakota State4-0 · Mountain West
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Sat, Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET· Gate City Bank Field at the Fargodome· North Dakota State -18.5 · O/U 45.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / —Travel 581 mi / —
Market context
North Dakota State -18.5 · O/U 45.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Wyoming as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 9-14 ATS (23 games) · 10-13 O/U (23 games)
North Dakota State as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNorth Dakota State · 8 of 9
326.0
Yards / game
370.5
1.82
Points / drive
3.21
2.0
TDs / game
3.5
37.8
3rd-down %
42.3
53.3
RZ TD %
61.5
-1.5
Turnover margin
2.0
1.5
Sacks / game
1.8
4.8
TFL / game
4.5
10.0
Havoc / game
11.8
42.5 / 57.5
Pass / Rush split
38.0 / 62.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Wyoming has the ball
Wyoming's early-down offense ranks 100th of 138. North Dakota State's early-down defense ranks 7th of 138.
Wyoming's passing-down offense ranks 62nd of 138. North Dakota State's passing-down defense ranks 1st of 138.
Wyoming's third-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. North Dakota State's third-down defense ranks 9th of 138.
Wyoming's red-zone offense ranks 92nd of 138. North Dakota State's red-zone defense ranks 36th of 138.
When North Dakota State has the ball
North Dakota State's early-down offense ranks 47th of 138. Wyoming's early-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
North Dakota State's passing-down offense ranks 69th of 138. Wyoming's passing-down defense ranks 86th of 138.
North Dakota State's third-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Wyoming's third-down defense ranks 59th of 138.
North Dakota State's red-zone offense ranks 130th of 138. Wyoming's red-zone defense ranks 33rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.044 last 3 vs -0.004 season)
▲Defense form-0.034 last 3 vs 0.029 season (-0.063)
Offense formabout the same(0.098 last 3 vs 0.086 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.288 last 3 vs -0.323 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTyler Hughes — 656 yd, 2 TD
RushingSamuel Tote Harris — 226 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingKyle Frendt — 155 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingNathan Hayes — 808 yd, 7 TD
RushingDJ Scott — 225 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJackson Williams — 283 yd, 1 TD