Fourth Down Data
#6Alabama5-1 · SEC@#15Tennessee5-1 · SEC
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Sat, Oct 17, 3:30 PM ET· Neyland Stadium· Alabama -6.5 · O/U 55.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 280 mi / 0 miForecast: 58°F · wind 13 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Alabama -6.5 · O/U 55.5
opened Alabama -5.5, now Alabama -6.5 · total opened 56.5, now 55.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Alabama as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-2-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-1-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 15-18-1 ATS (34 games) · 20-13-1 O/U (34 games)
Tennessee as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 5-6 ATS (11 games) · 4-7 O/U (11 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalAlabama · 6 of 9
452.5
Yards / game
414.8
4.02
Points / drive
2.36
5.0
TDs / game
4.2
48.6
3rd-down %
35.9
85.2
RZ TD %
77.8
1.2
Turnover margin
0.2
2.8
Sacks / game
4.2
5.7
TFL / game
8.0
14.7
Havoc / game
17.5
43.0 / 57.0
Pass / Rush split
37.0 / 63.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Alabama has the ball
Alabama's early-down offense ranks 15th of 138. Tennessee's early-down defense ranks 5th of 138.
Alabama's passing-down offense ranks 10th of 138. Tennessee's passing-down defense ranks 22nd of 138.
Alabama's third-down offense ranks 11th of 138. Tennessee's third-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
Alabama's red-zone offense ranks 4th of 138. Tennessee's red-zone defense ranks 21st of 138.
When Tennessee has the ball
Tennessee's early-down offense ranks 67th of 138. Alabama's early-down defense ranks 24th of 138.
Tennessee's passing-down offense ranks 120th of 138. Alabama's passing-down defense ranks 74th of 138.
Tennessee's third-down offense ranks 102nd of 138. Alabama's third-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Tennessee's red-zone offense ranks 28th of 138. Alabama's red-zone defense ranks 129th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.279 last 3 vs 0.287 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.120 last 3 vs -0.122 season)
▼Offense form-0.144 last 3 vs 0.020 season (-0.164)
Defense formabout the same(-0.218 last 3 vs -0.260 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKeelon Russell — 1599 yd, 12 TD
RushingTrae’shawn Brown — 301 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingRyan Coleman-Williams — 415 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingFaizon Brandon — 697 yd, 7 TD
RushingDeSean Bishop — 678 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingMike Matthews — 396 yd, 3 TD