Sat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM ET· Kinnick Stadium· Iowa -4.5 · O/U 39.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 146 mi / 0 miForecast: 62°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Iowa -4.5 · O/U 39.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Wisconsin as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 2-3-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-1-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 6-7 ATS (13 games) · 8-4-1 O/U (13 games)
Iowa as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 16-20-1 ATS (37 games) · 17-20 O/U (37 games)
2026 · TraditionalIowa · 8 of 9
351.8
Yards / game
403.2
2.43
Points / drive
2.80
2.8
TDs / game
3.5
42.3
3rd-down %
39.4
52.9
RZ TD %
68.4
0.0
Turnover margin
0.3
1.3
Sacks / game
3.2
4.2
TFL / game
5.7
12.0
Havoc / game
14.2
44.9 / 55.1
Pass / Rush split
48.4 / 51.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Wisconsin has the ball
Wisconsin's early-down offense ranks 111th of 138. Iowa's early-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Wisconsin's passing-down offense ranks 117th of 138. Iowa's passing-down defense ranks 77th of 138.
Wisconsin's third-down offense ranks 66th of 138. Iowa's third-down defense ranks 11th of 138.
Wisconsin's red-zone offense ranks 53rd of 138. Iowa's red-zone defense ranks 68th of 138.
When Iowa has the ball
Iowa's early-down offense ranks 39th of 138. Wisconsin's early-down defense ranks 18th of 138.
Iowa's passing-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Wisconsin's passing-down defense ranks 22nd of 138.
Iowa's third-down offense ranks 115th of 138. Wisconsin's third-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
Iowa's red-zone offense ranks 83rd of 138. Wisconsin's red-zone defense ranks 29th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Wisconsin offense
111thof 138-0.081233 plays
vs
Iowa defense · allowed
54thof 138-0.042Wisconsin defense · allowed
18thof 138-0.127vs
Iowa offense
39thof 1380.079218 plays
Passing downs
Wisconsin offense
117thof 138-0.133133 plays
vs
Iowa defense · allowed
77thof 138-0.006151 plays
Wisconsin defense · allowed
22ndof 138-0.145146 plays
vs
Iowa offense
135thof 138-0.246116 plays
Third down
Wisconsin offense
66thof 1380.07979 plays
vs
Iowa defense · allowed
11thof 138-0.25489 plays
Wisconsin defense · allowed
99thof 1380.11193 plays
vs
Iowa offense
115thof 138-0.15972 plays
Red zone
Wisconsin offense
53rdof 1380.05441 plays · small sample
vs
Iowa defense · allowed
68thof 138-0.04744 plays · small sample
Wisconsin defense · allowed
29thof 138-0.21452 plays · small sample
vs
Iowa offense
83rdof 138-0.03741 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Wisconsin offense
70thof 13848.5%vs
Iowa defense · allowed
10thof 13831.5%Wisconsin defense · allowed
40thof 13838.0%vs
Iowa offense
54thof 13851.1%Wisconsin Offense vs Iowa DefenseIowa · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.03#67
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#380.14
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.040#92
312 plays
EPA/Play
#59-0.037
allowed · 287 plays
-0.266#131
145 plays
EPA/Pass
#1340.251
allowed · 127 plays
0.157#16
167 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#3-0.266
allowed · 160 plays
43.9%#110
312 plays
Success Rate
#1640.8%
allowed · 287 plays
37.2%#127
Pass Success Rate
#4340.7%
allowed
49.7%#50
Rush Success Rate
#335.1%
allowed
48.5%#70
Available Yards %
#1031.5%
allowed
69.4#53
Net Field Position
#276.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.081#111
233 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#54-0.042
allowed
6.8#67
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#457.5
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Wisconsin Defense vs Iowa OffenseWisconsin · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.29#17
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#370.16
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.121#23
allowed · 355 plays
EPA/Play
#750.017
272 plays
-0.240#13
allowed · 168 plays
EPA/Pass
#82-0.038
143 plays
-0.014#64
allowed · 187 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#490.078
129 plays
42.0%#32
allowed · 355 plays
Success Rate
#4548.9%
272 plays
37.8%#17
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#7544.8%
46.3%#63
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1353.5%
38.0%#40
allowed
Available Yards %
#5451.1%
74.1#22
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#3268.6
-0.127#18
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#390.079
218 plays
6.3#123
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#396.5
2026 · Situational EPAWisconsin · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.058
293 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.012
298 plays
-0.136
326 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.055
302 plays
0.054
41 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.037
41 plays · small sample
-0.214
52 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.047
44 plays · small sample
0.079
79 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.159
72 plays
0.111
93 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.254
89 plays