Fourth Down Data
Western Michigan5-2 · Mid-American@Toledo5-2 · Mid-American
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Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET· Glass Bowl· Toledo -3.5 · O/U 46
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 111 mi / 0 miForecast: 62°F · wind 4 mph · Clear
Market context
Toledo -3.5 · O/U 46
total opened 45.5, now 46
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Western Michigan as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 11-11 ATS (22 games) · 6-15 O/U (21 games)
Toledo as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 18-19 ATS (37 games) · 21-15 O/U (36 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalToledo · 7 of 9
322.3
Yards / game
458.4
2.41
Points / drive
2.78
3.1
TDs / game
4.4
44.8
3rd-down %
43.2
70.8
RZ TD %
74.1
0.6
Turnover margin
0.0
2.3
Sacks / game
3.0
3.9
TFL / game
6.0
11.9
Havoc / game
14.7
37.3 / 62.7
Pass / Rush split
46.9 / 53.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Western Michigan has the ball
Western Michigan's early-down offense ranks 52nd of 138. Toledo's early-down defense ranks 18th of 138.
Western Michigan's passing-down offense ranks 40th of 138. Toledo's passing-down defense ranks 59th of 138.
Western Michigan's third-down offense ranks 30th of 138. Toledo's third-down defense ranks 60th of 138.
Western Michigan's red-zone offense ranks 18th of 138. Toledo's red-zone defense ranks 70th of 138.
When Toledo has the ball
Toledo's early-down offense ranks 17th of 138. Western Michigan's early-down defense ranks 85th of 138.
Toledo's passing-down offense ranks 71st of 138. Western Michigan's passing-down defense ranks 95th of 138.
Toledo's third-down offense ranks 61st of 138. Western Michigan's third-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
Toledo's red-zone offense ranks 14th of 138. Western Michigan's red-zone defense ranks 63rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.145 last 3 vs 0.045 season (+0.100)
Defense formabout the same(-0.060 last 3 vs -0.039 season)
▼Offense form-0.001 last 3 vs 0.082 season (-0.083)
Defense formabout the same(-0.171 last 3 vs -0.184 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBroc Lowry — 1044 yd, 8 TD
RushingJalen Buckley — 542 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingAveion Chenault — 326 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJohn Alan Richter — 1853 yd, 14 TD
RushingCJ Miller — 426 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingAdjatay Dabbs — 468 yd, 5 TD