Fourth Down Data
Western Kentucky2-4 · Conference USA@Sam Houston1-4 · Conference USA
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Wed, Oct 14, 8:00 PM ET· Bowers Stadium· Western Kentucky -1.5 · O/U 51.5
Rest 6d / 6dTravel 677 mi / 0 miForecast: 80°F · wind 10 mph · Clear
Market context
Western Kentucky -1.5 · O/U 51.5
opened Western Kentucky -2, now Western Kentucky -1.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Western Kentucky as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 9-8-1 ATS (18 games) · 9-9 O/U (18 games)
Sam Houston as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 8-3-1 ATS (12 games) · 6-6 O/U (12 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSam Houston · 8 of 9
366.5
Yards / game
375.0
1.63
Points / drive
1.65
2.8
TDs / game
3.0
40.8
3rd-down %
41.1
64.7
RZ TD %
61.5
-0.7
Turnover margin
0.4
1.0
Sacks / game
2.0
4.2
TFL / game
5.6
9.8
Havoc / game
14.2
50.7 / 49.3
Pass / Rush split
54.0 / 46.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Western Kentucky has the ball
Western Kentucky's early-down offense ranks 99th of 138. Sam Houston's early-down defense ranks 67th of 138.
Western Kentucky's passing-down offense ranks 82nd of 138. Sam Houston's passing-down defense ranks 49th of 138.
Western Kentucky's third-down offense ranks 80th of 138. Sam Houston's third-down defense ranks 22nd of 138.
Western Kentucky's red-zone offense ranks 32nd of 138. Sam Houston's red-zone defense ranks 53rd of 138.
When Sam Houston has the ball
Sam Houston's early-down offense ranks 106th of 138. Western Kentucky's early-down defense ranks 125th of 138.
Sam Houston's passing-down offense ranks 48th of 138. Western Kentucky's passing-down defense ranks 115th of 138.
Sam Houston's third-down offense ranks 57th of 138. Western Kentucky's third-down defense ranks 48th of 138.
Sam Houston's red-zone offense ranks 99th of 138. Western Kentucky's red-zone defense ranks 111th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.101 last 3 vs -0.071 season (+0.172)
▲Defense form-0.203 last 3 vs 0.036 season (-0.239)
Offense formabout the same(-0.139 last 3 vs -0.105 season)
▲Defense form-0.150 last 3 vs -0.078 season (-0.072)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRodney Tisdale Jr. — 852 yd, 4 TD
RushingAjay Allen — 321 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingJonathan Stafford Jr. — 332 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLandyn Locke — 1306 yd, 11 TD
RushingAlton McCaskill — 201 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingGrady O'Neill — 255 yd, 2 TD