Fourth Down Data
#10BYU3-0 · Big 12@TCU2-2 · Big 12
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Sat, Oct 3, 7:00 PM ET· Amon G. Carter Stadium· BYU -6.5 · O/U 47.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 14d / 7dTravel 948 mi / 0 miForecast: 75°F · wind 6 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
BYU -6.5 · O/U 47.5
total opened 49, now 47.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
BYU as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 11-8 ATS (19 games) · 10-9 O/U (19 games)
TCU as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 6-2-1 ATS (9 games) · 5-3-1 O/U (9 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalBYU · 7 of 9
481.7
Yards / game
442.0
4.04
Points / drive
2.12
5.7
TDs / game
3.5
61.3
3rd-down %
43.4
81.3
RZ TD %
57.9
1.3
Turnover margin
-0.3
1.3
Sacks / game
2.3
5.7
TFL / game
5.0
12.0
Havoc / game
12.0
35.7 / 64.3
Pass / Rush split
48.4 / 51.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When BYU has the ball
BYU's early-down offense ranks 8th of 138. TCU's early-down defense ranks 104th of 138.
BYU's passing-down offense ranks 56th of 138. TCU's passing-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
BYU's third-down offense ranks 54th of 138. TCU's third-down defense ranks 1st of 138.
BYU's red-zone offense ranks 50th of 138. TCU's red-zone defense ranks 27th of 138.
When TCU has the ball
TCU's early-down offense ranks 111th of 138. BYU's early-down defense ranks 40th of 138.
TCU's passing-down offense ranks 102nd of 138. BYU's passing-down defense ranks 68th of 138.
TCU's third-down offense ranks 52nd of 138. BYU's third-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
TCU's red-zone offense ranks 72nd of 138. BYU's red-zone defense ranks 123rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Season to date · 3 games
▲Offense form0.076 last 3 vs -0.004 season (+0.080)
Defense formabout the same(-0.126 last 3 vs -0.122 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBear Bachmeier — 642 yd, 6 TD
RushingLJ Martin — 328 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingLegend Glasker — 270 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJaden Craig — 1213 yd, 7 TD
RushingJeremy Payne — 355 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingEd Small — 371 yd, 1 TD