Fourth Down Data
Washington5-4 · Big Ten@Michigan State3-6 · Big Ten
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Sat, Nov 14, 4:15 PM ET· Spartan Stadium· Washington -4 · O/U 43
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,854 mi / 0 miForecast: 40°F · wind 10 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Washington -4 · O/U 43
total opened 43.5, now 43
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Washington as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-6 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 5-9 ATS (14 games) · 7-7 O/U (14 games)
Michigan State as home underdog
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 10-12 ATS (22 games) · 12-9 O/U (21 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalWashington · 8 of 9
364.4
Yards / game
292.1
2.11
Points / drive
1.91
3.0
TDs / game
2.0
33.3
3rd-down %
39.0
63.2
RZ TD %
50.0
0.4
Turnover margin
-0.2
2.0
Sacks / game
1.9
5.8
TFL / game
4.6
13.9
Havoc / game
11.2
56.1 / 43.9
Pass / Rush split
43.9 / 56.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Washington has the ball
Washington's early-down offense ranks 49th of 138. Michigan State's early-down defense ranks 72nd of 138.
Washington's passing-down offense ranks 98th of 138. Michigan State's passing-down defense ranks 83rd of 138.
Washington's third-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Michigan State's third-down defense ranks 62nd of 138.
Washington's red-zone offense ranks 82nd of 138. Michigan State's red-zone defense ranks 64th of 138.
When Michigan State has the ball
Michigan State's early-down offense ranks 114th of 138. Washington's early-down defense ranks 52nd of 138.
Michigan State's passing-down offense ranks 106th of 138. Washington's passing-down defense ranks 16th of 138.
Michigan State's third-down offense ranks 112th of 138. Washington's third-down defense ranks 64th of 138.
Michigan State's red-zone offense ranks 122nd of 138. Washington's red-zone defense ranks 75th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.022 last 3 vs 0.016 season)
▲Defense form-0.109 last 3 vs -0.026 season (-0.083)
▼Offense form-0.248 last 3 vs -0.128 season (-0.120)
▲Defense form-0.145 last 3 vs -0.007 season (-0.137)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDemond Williams Jr. — 1667 yd, 11 TD
RushingBrian Bonner Jr. — 318 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingChris Lawson — 727 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAlessio Milivojevic — 1451 yd, 7 TD
RushingJaziun Patterson — 327 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingChrishon McCray — 381 yd, 1 TD