Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ET· Gerald J. Ford Stadium· Wake Forest -1.5 · O/U 61.5
Rest 7d / 8dTravel 967 mi / 0 miForecast: 64°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Wake Forest -1.5 · O/U 61.5
opened Wake Forest -2.5, now Wake Forest -1.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Wake Forest as road favorite
2026 overall: 7-2 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 9-6-1 ATS (16 games) · 6-10 O/U (16 games)
SMU as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-4-2 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalWake Forest · 6 of 9
487.7
Yards / game
475.8
3.99
Points / drive
3.25
5.3
TDs / game
4.8
51.4
3rd-down %
47.7
73.9
RZ TD %
72.1
0.4
Turnover margin
-0.4
2.3
Sacks / game
3.0
6.6
TFL / game
7.3
13.0
Havoc / game
14.1
45.8 / 54.2
Pass / Rush split
48.8 / 51.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Wake Forest has the ball
Wake Forest's early-down offense ranks 4th of 138. SMU's early-down defense ranks 58th of 138.
Wake Forest's passing-down offense ranks 8th of 138. SMU's passing-down defense ranks 42nd of 138.
Wake Forest's third-down offense ranks 17th of 138. SMU's third-down defense ranks 39th of 138.
Wake Forest's red-zone offense ranks 39th of 138. SMU's red-zone defense ranks 114th of 138.
When SMU has the ball
SMU's early-down offense ranks 33rd of 138. Wake Forest's early-down defense ranks 33rd of 138.
SMU's passing-down offense ranks 15th of 138. Wake Forest's passing-down defense ranks 15th of 138.
SMU's third-down offense ranks 2nd of 138. Wake Forest's third-down defense ranks 46th of 138.
SMU's red-zone offense ranks 29th of 138. Wake Forest's red-zone defense ranks 3rd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.410 last 3 vs 0.276 season (+0.134)
▲Defense form-0.428 last 3 vs -0.181 season (-0.247)
▲Offense form0.318 last 3 vs 0.208 season (+0.110)
Defense formabout the same(-0.009 last 3 vs -0.050 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingGio Lopez — 2176 yd, 18 TD
RushingTy Clark III — 416 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingCarlos Hernandez — 945 yd, 7 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKevin Jennings — 2764 yd, 25 TD
RushingKendrick Raphael — 755 yd, 10 TD
ReceivingYamir Knight — 626 yd, 6 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Wake Forest offense
4thof 1380.223350 plays
vs
SMU defense · allowed
58thof 138-0.034Wake Forest defense · allowed
33rdof 138-0.080vs
SMU offense
33rdof 1380.082446 plays
Passing downs
Wake Forest offense
8thof 1380.318174 plays
vs
SMU defense · allowed
42ndof 138-0.081209 plays
Wake Forest defense · allowed
15thof 138-0.182218 plays
vs
SMU offense
15thof 1380.245189 plays
Third down
Wake Forest offense
17thof 1380.335108 plays
vs
SMU defense · allowed
39thof 138-0.102128 plays
Wake Forest defense · allowed
46thof 138-0.052135 plays
vs
SMU offense
2ndof 1380.538111 plays
Red zone
Wake Forest offense
39thof 1380.092122 plays
vs
SMU defense · allowed
114thof 1380.15278 plays
Wake Forest defense · allowed
3rdof 138-0.47479 plays
vs
SMU offense
29thof 1380.148114 plays
Field advancement
Wake Forest offense
3rdof 13863.9%vs
SMU defense · allowed
30thof 13838.0%Wake Forest defense · allowed
35thof 13838.7%vs
SMU offense
7thof 13861.2%Away
Home
Wake Forest Offense vs SMU DefenseWake Forest · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.60#2
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#590.06
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.245#4
439 plays
EPA/Play
#59-0.032
allowed · 512 plays
0.373#1
221 plays
EPA/Pass
#80-0.005
allowed · 239 plays
0.116#28
218 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#44-0.055
allowed · 273 plays
52.8%#8
439 plays
Success Rate
#3643.0%
allowed · 512 plays
52.9%#12
Pass Success Rate
#5642.1%
allowed
52.8%#18
Rush Success Rate
#3444.2%
allowed
63.9%#3
Available Yards %
#3038.0%
allowed
69.3#45
Net Field Position
#1773.4
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.223#4
350 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#58-0.034
allowed
6.4#21
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#427.4
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Wake Forest Defense vs SMU OffenseSMU · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.29#23
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#170.31
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.094#30
allowed · 414 plays
EPA/Play
#120.178
560 plays
-0.088#47
allowed · 223 plays
EPA/Pass
#70.293
276 plays
-0.100#29
allowed · 191 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#500.067
284 plays
44.0%#47
allowed · 414 plays
Success Rate
#2450.9%
560 plays
42.2%#58
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#953.6%
46.2%#61
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#7248.2%
38.7%#35
allowed
Available Yards %
#761.2%
73.6#15
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#1667.8
-0.080#33
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#330.082
446 plays
6.6#111
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1107.5
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.238
467 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.185
561 plays
-0.107
435 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.033
516 plays
0.092
122 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.148
114 plays
-0.474
79 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.152
78 plays
0.335
108 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.538
111 plays
-0.052
135 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.102
128 plays