Fourth Down Data
Wake Forest4-1 · ACC@NC State3-2 · ACC
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Sat, Oct 10, 12:00 PM ET· Carter-Finley Stadium· Wake Forest -2.5 · O/U 61.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 89 mi / 0 miForecast: 71°F · wind 10 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Wake Forest -2.5 · O/U 61.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Wake Forest as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 7-6-1 ATS (14 games) · 6-8 O/U (14 games)
NC State as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 10-3 ATS (13 games) · 7-6 O/U (13 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalEven · 4-4-1
445.0
Yards / game
460.0
3.20
Points / drive
2.82
4.4
TDs / game
4.6
45.9
3rd-down %
53.4
64.0
RZ TD %
68.0
0.0
Turnover margin
0.0
2.8
Sacks / game
1.4
7.0
TFL / game
3.6
12.8
Havoc / game
11.4
48.2 / 51.8
Pass / Rush split
45.0 / 55.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Wake Forest has the ball
Wake Forest's early-down offense ranks 12th of 138. NC State's early-down defense ranks 113th of 138.
Wake Forest's passing-down offense ranks 19th of 138. NC State's passing-down defense ranks 110th of 138.
Wake Forest's third-down offense ranks 60th of 138. NC State's third-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Wake Forest's red-zone offense ranks 75th of 138. NC State's red-zone defense ranks 124th of 138.
When NC State has the ball
NC State's early-down offense ranks 73rd of 138. Wake Forest's early-down defense ranks 84th of 138.
NC State's passing-down offense ranks 38th of 138. Wake Forest's passing-down defense ranks 61st of 138.
NC State's third-down offense ranks 19th of 138. Wake Forest's third-down defense ranks 105th of 138.
NC State's red-zone offense ranks 84th of 138. Wake Forest's red-zone defense ranks 76th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.140 last 3 vs 0.180 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.075 last 3 vs -0.037 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.088 last 3 vs 0.107 season)
▼Defense form0.146 last 3 vs -0.041 season (+0.187)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingGio Lopez — 1377 yd, 10 TD
RushingTy Clark III — 258 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingCarlos Hernandez — 603 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCJ Bailey — 1266 yd, 8 TD
RushingJayden Duke Scott — 358 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingKeenan Jackson — 339 yd, 5 TD