Fourth Down Data
Vanderbilt3-4 · SEC@#12Kentucky6-1 · SEC
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Sat, Oct 24, 7:30 PM ET· Kroger Field· Kentucky -10.5 · O/U 51.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 182 mi / 0 miForecast: 59°F · wind 4 mph · Clear
Market context
Kentucky -10.5 · O/U 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Vanderbilt as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-4 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-1-1 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 20-9-1 ATS (30 games) · 9-19-2 O/U (30 games)
Kentucky as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 16-14 ATS (30 games) · 16-14 O/U (30 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalKentucky · 7 of 9
354.3
Yards / game
387.9
1.86
Points / drive
2.61
2.6
TDs / game
3.7
38.5
3rd-down %
29.1
68.2
RZ TD %
65.6
-0.7
Turnover margin
1.6
2.1
Sacks / game
2.6
4.0
TFL / game
5.0
11.1
Havoc / game
15.0
48.2 / 51.8
Pass / Rush split
46.5 / 53.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Vanderbilt has the ball
Vanderbilt's early-down offense ranks 122nd of 138. Kentucky's early-down defense ranks 47th of 138.
Vanderbilt's passing-down offense ranks 64th of 138. Kentucky's passing-down defense ranks 119th of 138.
Vanderbilt's third-down offense ranks 36th of 138. Kentucky's third-down defense ranks 95th of 138.
Vanderbilt's red-zone offense ranks 22nd of 138. Kentucky's red-zone defense ranks 93rd of 138.
When Kentucky has the ball
Kentucky's early-down offense ranks 12th of 138. Vanderbilt's early-down defense ranks 86th of 138.
Kentucky's passing-down offense ranks 68th of 138. Vanderbilt's passing-down defense ranks 72nd of 138.
Kentucky's third-down offense ranks 138th of 138. Vanderbilt's third-down defense ranks 116th of 138.
Kentucky's red-zone offense ranks 65th of 138. Vanderbilt's red-zone defense ranks 118th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.181 last 3 vs -0.081 season (-0.100)
▼Defense form0.280 last 3 vs 0.073 season (+0.207)
▼Offense form-0.011 last 3 vs 0.040 season (-0.051)
▲Defense form-0.085 last 3 vs -0.033 season (-0.052)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJared Curtis — 1242 yd, 6 TD
RushingSedrick Alexander — 270 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingJunior Sherrill — 628 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKenny Minchey — 1552 yd, 13 TD
RushingCJ Baxter — 484 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby — 436 yd, 3 TD