Sat, Oct 3, 12:45 PM ET· Sanford Stadium· Georgia -24.5 · O/U 51
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 247 mi / 0 miForecast: 84°F · wind 4 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Georgia -24.5 · O/U 51
total opened 52.5, now 51
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Vanderbilt as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1-1 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 19-9-1 ATS (29 games) · 8-19-2 O/U (29 games)
Georgia as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-5 ATS (8 games) · 4-4 O/U (8 games)
Since 2020: 20-25-1 ATS (46 games) · 24-22 O/U (46 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalGeorgia · 8 of 9
363.5
Yards / game
480.8
2.09
Points / drive
5.21
2.8
TDs / game
6.8
32.1
3rd-down %
51.2
66.7
RZ TD %
86.4
0.3
Turnover margin
1.3
3.3
Sacks / game
2.8
5.3
TFL / game
6.5
14.0
Havoc / game
15.5
46.8 / 53.2
Pass / Rush split
44.9 / 55.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Vanderbilt has the ball
Vanderbilt's early-down offense ranks 95th of 138. Georgia's early-down defense ranks 8th of 138.
Vanderbilt's passing-down offense ranks 70th of 138. Georgia's passing-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
Vanderbilt's third-down offense ranks 91st of 138. Georgia's third-down defense ranks 32nd of 138.
Vanderbilt's red-zone offense ranks 25th of 138. Georgia's red-zone defense ranks 134th of 138.
When Georgia has the ball
Georgia's early-down offense ranks 10th of 138. Vanderbilt's early-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Georgia's passing-down offense ranks 76th of 138. Vanderbilt's passing-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Georgia's third-down offense ranks 58th of 138. Vanderbilt's third-down defense ranks 112th of 138.
Georgia's red-zone offense ranks 6th of 138. Vanderbilt's red-zone defense ranks 30th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.014 last 3 vs -0.006 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.032 last 3 vs -0.082 season)
▼Offense form0.278 last 3 vs 0.338 season (-0.060)
▼Defense form-0.388 last 3 vs -0.481 season (+0.093)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJared Curtis — 746 yd, 4 TD
RushingSedrick Alexander — 165 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJunior Sherrill — 367 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingGunner Stockton — 754 yd, 10 TD
RushingNate Frazier — 202 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingCraig Dandridge — 171 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Vanderbilt offense
95thof 138-0.034194 plays
vs
Georgia defense · allowed
8thof 138-0.222Vanderbilt defense · allowed
27thof 138-0.148vs
Georgia offense
10thof 1380.247104 plays
Passing downs
Vanderbilt offense
70thof 1380.05580 plays
vs
Georgia defense · allowed
20thof 138-0.221105 plays
Vanderbilt defense · allowed
37thof 138-0.115105 plays
vs
Georgia offense
76thof 1380.02362 plays
Third down
Vanderbilt offense
91stof 138-0.03857 plays · small sample
vs
Georgia defense · allowed
32ndof 138-0.21162 plays
Vanderbilt defense · allowed
112thof 1380.21456 plays · small sample
vs
Georgia offense
58thof 1380.16441 plays · small sample
Red zone
Vanderbilt offense
25thof 1380.23927 plays · small sample
vs
Georgia defense · allowed
134thof 1380.50417 plays · small sample
Vanderbilt defense · allowed
30thof 138-0.27817 plays · small sample
vs
Georgia offense
6thof 1380.44945 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Vanderbilt offense
93rdof 13845.3%vs
Georgia defense · allowed
4thof 13824.6%Vanderbilt defense · allowed
44thof 13836.4%vs
Georgia offense
31stof 13856.6%Away
Home
Vanderbilt Offense vs Georgia DefenseGeorgia · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.14#108
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#50.27
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.010#85
265 plays
EPA/Play
#1-0.458
allowed · 101 plays · small sample
-0.041#90
124 plays
EPA/Pass
#36-0.145
allowed · 58 plays · small sample
0.018#75
141 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1-0.880
allowed · 43 plays · small sample
48.7%#57
265 plays
Success Rate
#232.7%
allowed · 101 plays · small sample
46.0%#68
Pass Success Rate
#5841.0%
allowed
51.1%#44
Rush Success Rate
#6445.2%
allowed
45.3%#93
Available Yards %
#424.6%
allowed
69.8#59
Net Field Position
#6272.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.034#95
194 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#8-0.222
allowed
6.8#62
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#108.4
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Vanderbilt Defense vs Georgia OffenseGeorgia · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.07#55
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#40.45
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.062#57
allowed · 251 plays
EPA/Play
#40.317
126 plays · small sample
-0.055#64
allowed · 118 plays
EPA/Pass
#170.307
59 plays · small sample
-0.068#52
allowed · 133 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#30.326
67 plays
41.0%#32
allowed · 251 plays
Success Rate
#263.5%
126 plays · small sample
40.7%#55
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#361.0%
41.4%#33
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#165.7%
36.4%#44
allowed
Available Yards %
#3156.6%
74.9#18
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#1064.1
-0.148#27
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#100.247
104 plays
8.3#14
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#65.5
2026 · Situational EPAGeorgia · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.010
265 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.163
151 plays
-0.062
251 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.344
140 plays · small sample
0.239
27 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.449
45 plays · small sample
-0.278
17 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.504
17 plays · small sample
-0.038
57 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.164
41 plays · small sample
0.214
56 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.211
62 plays