Fourth Down Data
Air Force5-2 · Mountain West@Army5-2 · American Athletic
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Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET· Michie Stadium· Army -5.5 · O/U 51.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,630 mi / 0 miForecast: 51°F · wind 7 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Army -5.5 · O/U 51.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Air Force as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 7-4 ATS (11 games) · 4-6-1 O/U (11 games)
Army as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 16-19 ATS (35 games) · 18-17 O/U (35 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalArmy · 6 of 9
405.0
Yards / game
420.6
2.94
Points / drive
3.38
3.4
TDs / game
4.6
52.9
3rd-down %
49.4
63.3
RZ TD %
75.0
0.0
Turnover margin
0.4
1.3
Sacks / game
1.1
3.0
TFL / game
3.3
8.9
Havoc / game
8.3
13.0 / 87.0
Pass / Rush split
16.5 / 83.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Air Force has the ball
Air Force's early-down offense ranks 48th of 138. Army's early-down defense ranks 132nd of 138.
Air Force's passing-down offense ranks 56th of 138. Army's passing-down defense ranks 136th of 138.
Air Force's third-down offense ranks 33rd of 138. Army's third-down defense ranks 129th of 138.
Air Force's red-zone offense ranks 59th of 138. Army's red-zone defense ranks 98th of 138.
When Army has the ball
Army's early-down offense ranks 29th of 138. Air Force's early-down defense ranks 84th of 138.
Army's passing-down offense ranks 47th of 138. Air Force's passing-down defense ranks 40th of 138.
Army's third-down offense ranks 20th of 138. Air Force's third-down defense ranks 67th of 138.
Army's red-zone offense ranks 17th of 138. Air Force's red-zone defense ranks 11th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.217 last 3 vs 0.138 season (+0.079)
▼Defense form0.124 last 3 vs -0.013 season (+0.137)
Offense formabout the same(0.225 last 3 vs 0.222 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.168 last 3 vs 0.162 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLiam Szarka — 296 yd, 1 TD
RushingEvan Medders — 490 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingSimon Kibbee — 135 yd, 0 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCale Hellums — 422 yd, 3 TD
RushingCale Hellums — 840 yd, 16 TD
ReceivingBrady Anderson — 163 yd, 0 TD