Sat, Oct 10, 7:30 PM ET· Huskie Stadium
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 867 mi / 0 miForecast: 63°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Away
2026 · TraditionalAir Force · 5 of 9
390.3
Yards / game
300.3
2.65
Points / drive
1.21
3.5
TDs / game
1.5
49.2
3rd-down %
30.5
76.5
RZ TD %
40.0
0.0
Turnover margin
0.0
1.5
Sacks / game
1.8
3.5
TFL / game
5.3
9.8
Havoc / game
10.0
15.8 / 84.2
Pass / Rush split
53.3 / 46.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Air Force has the ball
Air Force's early-down offense ranks 91st of 138. Northern Illinois's early-down defense ranks 49th of 138.
Air Force's passing-down offense ranks 99th of 138. Northern Illinois's passing-down defense ranks 119th of 138.
Air Force's third-down offense ranks 55th of 138. Northern Illinois's third-down defense ranks 129th of 138.
Air Force's red-zone offense ranks 19th of 138. Northern Illinois's red-zone defense ranks 97th of 138.
When Northern Illinois has the ball
Northern Illinois's early-down offense ranks 93rd of 138. Air Force's early-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
Northern Illinois's passing-down offense ranks 123rd of 138. Air Force's passing-down defense ranks 5th of 138.
Northern Illinois's third-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Air Force's third-down defense ranks 12th of 138.
Northern Illinois's red-zone offense ranks 135th of 138. Air Force's red-zone defense ranks 1st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.095 last 3 vs 0.078 season)
▼Defense form-0.004 last 3 vs -0.116 season (+0.112)
▲Offense form-0.031 last 3 vs -0.220 season (+0.188)
Defense formabout the same(0.050 last 3 vs 0.067 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLiam Szarka — 296 yd, 1 TD
RushingLiam Szarka — 391 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingSimon Kibbee — 103 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTaron Dickens — 837 yd, 3 TD
RushingTelly Johnson Jr. — 253 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingDeAree Rogers — 252 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Air Force offense
91stof 138-0.039189 plays
vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
49thof 138-0.074Air Force defense · allowed
57thof 138-0.062vs
Northern Illinois offense
93rdof 138-0.045143 plays
Passing downs
Air Force offense
99thof 138-0.09088 plays
vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
119thof 1380.17986 plays
Air Force defense · allowed
5thof 138-0.30785 plays
vs
Northern Illinois offense
123rdof 138-0.18595 plays
Third down
Air Force offense
55thof 1380.17463 plays
vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
129thof 1380.36653 plays · small sample
Air Force defense · allowed
12thof 138-0.31047 plays · small sample
vs
Northern Illinois offense
135thof 138-0.44459 plays · small sample
Red zone
Air Force offense
19thof 1380.28747 plays · small sample
vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
97thof 1380.08746 plays · small sample
Air Force defense · allowed
1stof 138-0.71619 plays · small sample
vs
Northern Illinois offense
135thof 138-0.61930 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Air Force offense
58thof 13851.5%vs
Northern Illinois defense · allowed
107thof 13848.5%Air Force defense · allowed
53rdof 13839.2%vs
Northern Illinois offense
124thof 13837.0%Away
Air Force Offense vs Northern Illinois DefenseAir Force · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.05#57
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#124-0.22
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.075#47
257 plays
EPA/Play
#1030.036
allowed · 202 plays
0.010#61
43 plays · small sample
EPA/Pass
#1030.089
allowed · 96 plays
0.088#44
214 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#70-0.012
allowed · 106 plays
49.0%#43
257 plays
Success Rate
#12349.5%
allowed · 202 plays
44.2%#84
Pass Success Rate
#12549.2%
allowed
50.0%#48
Rush Success Rate
#7046.3%
allowed
51.5%#58
Available Yards %
#10748.5%
allowed
70.6#71
Net Field Position
#10869.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.039#91
189 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#49-0.074
allowed
5.5#3
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1256.1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Air Force Defense vs Northern Illinois OffenseAir Force · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.03#82
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#127-0.31
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.067#53
allowed · 200 plays
EPA/Play
#119-0.115
191 plays
-0.192#23
allowed · 87 plays
EPA/Pass
#112-0.150
105 plays
0.029#85
allowed · 113 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#108-0.073
86 plays
43.0%#51
allowed · 200 plays
Success Rate
#13240.8%
191 plays
36.6%#18
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#11739.0%
46.6%#77
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#12043.0%
39.2%#53
allowed
Available Yards %
#12437.0%
70.1#91
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#10372.3
-0.062#57
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#93-0.045
143 plays
8.1#22
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1067.5
2026 · Situational EPAAir Force · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.075
257 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.113
190 plays
-0.063
203 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.062
202 plays
0.287
47 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.619
30 plays · small sample
-0.716
19 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.087
46 plays · small sample
0.174
63 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.444
59 plays · small sample
-0.310
47 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.366
53 plays · small sample