Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET· Hancock Whitney Stadium· South Alabama -2.5 · O/U 56
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 145 mi / 0 miForecast: 50°F · wind 3 mph · Clear
Market context
South Alabama -2.5 · O/U 56
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Troy as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-6 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 5-2 ATS (7 games) · 1-6 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 17-12 ATS (29 games) · 10-19 O/U (29 games)
South Alabama as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 16-15 ATS (31 games) · 18-13 O/U (31 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSouth Alabama · 6 of 9
358.6
Yards / game
413.2
1.71
Points / drive
2.74
2.6
TDs / game
3.8
31.1
3rd-down %
40.3
62.5
RZ TD %
68.8
0.0
Turnover margin
0.6
2.0
Sacks / game
1.9
6.0
TFL / game
3.9
13.0
Havoc / game
10.1
41.9 / 58.1
Pass / Rush split
37.4 / 62.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Troy has the ball
Troy's early-down offense ranks 109th of 138. South Alabama's early-down defense ranks 136th of 138.
Troy's passing-down offense ranks 118th of 138. South Alabama's passing-down defense ranks 132nd of 138.
Troy's third-down offense ranks 104th of 138. South Alabama's third-down defense ranks 85th of 138.
Troy's red-zone offense ranks 70th of 138. South Alabama's red-zone defense ranks 138th of 138.
When South Alabama has the ball
South Alabama's early-down offense ranks 43rd of 138. Troy's early-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
South Alabama's passing-down offense ranks 16th of 138. Troy's passing-down defense ranks 35th of 138.
South Alabama's third-down offense ranks 47th of 138. Troy's third-down defense ranks 15th of 138.
South Alabama's red-zone offense ranks 31st of 138. Troy's red-zone defense ranks 66th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.317 last 3 vs -0.120 season (-0.197)
▲Defense form-0.203 last 3 vs -0.052 season (-0.151)
▼Offense form-0.046 last 3 vs 0.080 season (-0.126)
▲Defense form0.072 last 3 vs 0.150 season (-0.078)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingGoose Crowder — 1162 yd, 9 TD
RushingGavin Griffin — 465 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingTK Keyes — 319 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJared Hollins — 1195 yd, 9 TD
RushingKeenan Phillips — 595 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingBrendan Jenkins — 552 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Troy offense
109thof 138-0.087449 plays
vs
South Alabama defense · allowed
136thof 1380.191Troy defense · allowed
54thof 138-0.039vs
South Alabama offense
43rdof 1380.056451 plays
Passing downs
Troy offense
118thof 138-0.135216 plays
vs
South Alabama defense · allowed
132ndof 1380.279163 plays
Troy defense · allowed
35thof 138-0.094197 plays
vs
South Alabama offense
16thof 1380.243210 plays
Third down
Troy offense
104thof 138-0.077130 plays
vs
South Alabama defense · allowed
85thof 1380.09397 plays
Troy defense · allowed
15thof 138-0.222119 plays
vs
South Alabama offense
47thof 1380.138130 plays
Red zone
Troy offense
70thof 1380.00369 plays
vs
South Alabama defense · allowed
138thof 1380.36484 plays
Troy defense · allowed
66thof 138-0.02474 plays
vs
South Alabama offense
31stof 1380.14099 plays
Field advancement
Troy offense
129thof 13838.7%vs
South Alabama defense · allowed
119thof 13851.4%Troy defense · allowed
53rdof 13841.6%vs
South Alabama offense
35thof 13852.4%Away
Home
Troy Offense vs South Alabama DefenseTroy · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.31#125
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#131-0.37
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.105#121
598 plays
EPA/Play
#1330.165
allowed · 518 plays
-0.242#134
249 plays
EPA/Pass
#1320.182
allowed · 240 plays
-0.007#79
349 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1290.150
allowed · 278 plays
41.8%#127
598 plays
Success Rate
#13551.7%
allowed · 518 plays
34.5%#136
Pass Success Rate
#13450.6%
allowed
47.0%#85
Rush Success Rate
#13352.6%
allowed
38.7%#129
Available Yards %
#11951.4%
allowed
73.5#131
Net Field Position
#8670.7
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.087#109
449 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1360.191
allowed
7.2#93
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1176.6
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Troy Defense vs South Alabama OffenseSouth Alabama · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.03#67
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#380.15
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.061#43
allowed · 548 plays
EPA/Play
#380.075
604 plays
-0.087#48
allowed · 262 plays
EPA/Pass
#560.038
224 plays
-0.037#56
allowed · 286 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#350.096
380 plays
43.4%#39
allowed · 548 plays
Success Rate
#6646.7%
604 plays
41.9%#53
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#6245.1%
45.8%#55
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#7847.6%
41.6%#53
allowed
Available Yards %
#3552.4%
67.3#135
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#2968.7
-0.039#54
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#430.056
451 plays
7.3#53
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#236.4
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.107
604 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.083
602 plays
-0.056
543 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.167
513 plays
0.003
69 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.140
99 plays
-0.024
74 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.364
84 plays
-0.077
130 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.138
130 plays
-0.222
119 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.093
97 plays