Fourth Down Data
Bowling Green0-4 · Mid-American@Miami (OH)2-2 · Mid-American
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Sat, Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET· Fred C. Yager Stadium· Miami (OH) -13.5 · O/U 43.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 141 mi / 0 miForecast: 65°F · wind 10 mph · Clear
Market context
Miami (OH) -13.5 · O/U 43.5
opened Miami (OH) -14.5, now Miami (OH) -13.5 · total opened 46, now 43.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Bowling Green as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 15-14 ATS (29 games) · 17-12 O/U (29 games)
Miami (OH) as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 17-6 ATS (23 games) · 9-14 O/U (23 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMiami (OH) · 5 of 9
232.0
Yards / game
387.5
0.76
Points / drive
2.73
0.8
TDs / game
3.3
28.8
3rd-down %
41.3
40.0
RZ TD %
66.7
-0.3
Turnover margin
-0.3
2.3
Sacks / game
1.8
4.5
TFL / game
3.5
9.5
Havoc / game
9.0
42.1 / 57.9
Pass / Rush split
48.9 / 51.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Bowling Green has the ball
Bowling Green's early-down offense ranks 134th of 138. Miami (OH)'s early-down defense ranks 101st of 138.
Bowling Green's passing-down offense ranks 137th of 138. Miami (OH)'s passing-down defense ranks 124th of 138.
Bowling Green's third-down offense ranks 136th of 138. Miami (OH)'s third-down defense ranks 133rd of 138.
Bowling Green's red-zone offense ranks 68th of 138. Miami (OH)'s red-zone defense ranks 136th of 138.
When Miami (OH) has the ball
Miami (OH)'s early-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Bowling Green's early-down defense ranks 131st of 138.
Miami (OH)'s passing-down offense ranks 95th of 138. Bowling Green's passing-down defense ranks 45th of 138.
Miami (OH)'s third-down offense ranks 96th of 138. Bowling Green's third-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
Miami (OH)'s red-zone offense ranks 70th of 138. Bowling Green's red-zone defense ranks 71st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.441 last 3 vs -0.375 season (-0.066)
Defense formabout the same(0.126 last 3 vs 0.083 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.236 last 3 vs 0.205 season)
▲Defense form-0.149 last 3 vs -0.030 season (-0.119)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJay Kastantin — 565 yd, 2 TD
RushingAustyn Dendy — 174 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingWinn Sharp — 154 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDavid McComb — 1121 yd, 7 TD
RushingLazaro Rogers — 86 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingMaleek Huggins — 225 yd, 1 TD