Wed, Nov 4, 7:00 PM ET· Hornet Stadium
Rest 11d / —Travel 1,994 mi / —Forecast: 62°F · wind 3 mph · Partially cloudy
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalToledo · 9 of 9
475.5
Yards / game
295.9
2.85
Points / drive
1.15
4.6
TDs / game
1.7
43.8
3rd-down %
32.5
76.5
RZ TD %
33.3
0.1
Turnover margin
-0.6
2.9
Sacks / game
1.2
5.9
TFL / game
3.8
14.6
Havoc / game
8.3
46.8 / 53.2
Pass / Rush split
51.5 / 48.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Toledo has the ball
Toledo's early-down offense ranks 16th of 138. Sacramento State's early-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
Toledo's passing-down offense ranks 48th of 138. Sacramento State's passing-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
Toledo's third-down offense ranks 44th of 138. Sacramento State's third-down defense ranks 66th of 138.
Toledo's red-zone offense ranks 10th of 138. Sacramento State's red-zone defense ranks 75th of 138.
When Sacramento State has the ball
Sacramento State's early-down offense ranks 138th of 138. Toledo's early-down defense ranks 18th of 138.
Sacramento State's passing-down offense ranks 138th of 138. Toledo's passing-down defense ranks 78th of 138.
Sacramento State's third-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Toledo's third-down defense ranks 53rd of 138.
Sacramento State's red-zone offense ranks 135th of 138. Toledo's red-zone defense ranks 68th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.019 last 3 vs 0.088 season (-0.107)
Defense formabout the same(-0.107 last 3 vs -0.147 season)
Offense formabout the same(-0.283 last 3 vs -0.293 season)
▲Defense form-0.027 last 3 vs 0.028 season (-0.055)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJohn Alan Richter — 2244 yd, 17 TD
RushingCJ Miller — 609 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingAdjatay Dabbs — 592 yd, 7 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJackson Sharman — 1363 yd, 8 TD
RushingIsaiah Ene — 410 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingMatt Coleman — 492 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Toledo offense
16thof 1380.135393 plays
vs
Sacramento State defense · allowed
99thof 1380.030Toledo defense · allowed
18thof 138-0.127vs
Sacramento State offense
138thof 138-0.264307 plays
Passing downs
Toledo offense
48thof 1380.090179 plays
vs
Sacramento State defense · allowed
81stof 1380.008186 plays
Toledo defense · allowed
78thof 1380.002203 plays
vs
Sacramento State offense
138thof 138-0.347205 plays
Third down
Toledo offense
44thof 1380.190107 plays
vs
Sacramento State defense · allowed
66thof 1380.008105 plays
Toledo defense · allowed
53rdof 138-0.031122 plays
vs
Sacramento State offense
135thof 138-0.325126 plays
Red zone
Toledo offense
10thof 1380.29891 plays
vs
Sacramento State defense · allowed
75thof 1380.00769 plays
Toledo defense · allowed
68thof 138-0.00595 plays
vs
Sacramento State offense
135thof 138-0.54851 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Toledo offense
26thof 13854.9%vs
Sacramento State defense · allowed
83rdof 13845.8%Toledo defense · allowed
47thof 13839.6%vs
Sacramento State offense
133rdof 13836.1%Away
Home
Toledo Offense vs Sacramento State DefenseToledo · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.16#38
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#123-0.28
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.088#37
504 plays
EPA/Play
#810.011
allowed · 434 plays
0.131#34
251 plays
EPA/Pass
#74-0.015
allowed · 193 plays
0.045#58
253 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#870.031
allowed · 241 plays
49.8%#34
504 plays
Success Rate
#10147.7%
allowed · 434 plays
48.6%#41
Pass Success Rate
#8744.4%
allowed
51.0%#35
Rush Success Rate
#7747.6%
allowed
54.9%#26
Available Yards %
#8345.8%
allowed
68.1#24
Net Field Position
#6371.5
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.135#16
393 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#990.030
allowed
6.9#70
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1046.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Toledo Defense vs Sacramento State OffenseToledo · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.02#69
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#136-0.52
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.102#30
allowed · 486 plays
EPA/Play
#138-0.264
412 plays
-0.040#65
allowed · 226 plays
EPA/Pass
#135-0.267
225 plays
-0.155#17
allowed · 260 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#136-0.259
187 plays
41.2%#18
allowed · 486 plays
Success Rate
#13241.3%
412 plays
43.2%#75
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#10341.3%
40.2%#10
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#13141.2%
39.6%#47
allowed
Available Yards %
#13336.1%
69.5#109
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#7070.4
-0.127#18
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#138-0.264
307 plays
6.5#120
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#907.3
2026 · Situational EPAToledo · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.085
508 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.270
421 plays
-0.086
503 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.021
435 plays
0.298
91 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.548
51 plays · small sample
-0.005
95 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.007
69 plays
0.190
107 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.325
126 plays
-0.031
122 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.008
105 plays