Sat, Nov 14, 9:30 PM ET· Boone Pickens Stadium at Lewis Field· Oklahoma State -3.5 · O/U 73
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 324 mi / 0 miForecast: 50°F · wind 12 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Oklahoma State -3.5 · O/U 73
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Texas Tech as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 7-2 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 11-11 ATS (22 games) · 8-14 O/U (22 games)
Oklahoma State as home favorite
2026 overall: 7-2 ATS (9 games) · 7-2 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 13-17 ATS (30 games) · 14-14 O/U (28 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOklahoma State · 5 of 9
449.3
Yards / game
533.6
2.68
Points / drive
3.45
4.0
TDs / game
5.2
39.8
3rd-down %
40.6
52.8
RZ TD %
60.4
0.1
Turnover margin
-0.1
3.2
Sacks / game
1.9
6.2
TFL / game
5.3
15.4
Havoc / game
12.0
41.9 / 58.1
Pass / Rush split
49.6 / 50.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When Texas Tech has the ball
Texas Tech's early-down offense ranks 38th of 138. Oklahoma State's early-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
Texas Tech's passing-down offense ranks 30th of 138. Oklahoma State's passing-down defense ranks 50th of 138.
Texas Tech's third-down offense ranks 65th of 138. Oklahoma State's third-down defense ranks 74th of 138.
Texas Tech's red-zone offense ranks 111th of 138. Oklahoma State's red-zone defense ranks 124th of 138.
When Oklahoma State has the ball
Oklahoma State's early-down offense ranks 1st of 138. Texas Tech's early-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
Oklahoma State's passing-down offense ranks 14th of 138. Texas Tech's passing-down defense ranks 73rd of 138.
Oklahoma State's third-down offense ranks 128th of 138. Texas Tech's third-down defense ranks 87th of 138.
Oklahoma State's red-zone offense ranks 68th of 138. Texas Tech's red-zone defense ranks 65th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.092 last 3 vs 0.060 season)
▼Defense form0.140 last 3 vs -0.060 season (+0.201)
▲Offense form0.378 last 3 vs 0.262 season (+0.115)
Defense formabout the same(-0.100 last 3 vs -0.062 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingWill Hammond — 1561 yd, 6 TD
RushingJ'Koby Williams — 954 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingKenny Johnson — 632 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDrew Mestemaker — 2962 yd, 29 TD
RushingCaleb Hawkins — 1081 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingJustin Bowick — 790 yd, 10 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Texas Tech offense
38thof 1380.073455 plays
vs
Oklahoma State defense · allowed
71stof 138-0.014Texas Tech defense · allowed
80thof 138-0.008vs
Oklahoma State offense
1stof 1380.331463 plays
Passing downs
Texas Tech offense
30thof 1380.157199 plays
vs
Oklahoma State defense · allowed
50thof 138-0.066201 plays
Texas Tech defense · allowed
73rdof 138-0.016237 plays
vs
Oklahoma State offense
14thof 1380.257179 plays
Third down
Texas Tech offense
65thof 1380.055119 plays
vs
Oklahoma State defense · allowed
74thof 1380.054130 plays
Texas Tech defense · allowed
87thof 1380.105138 plays
vs
Oklahoma State offense
128thof 138-0.191101 plays
Red zone
Texas Tech offense
111thof 138-0.148101 plays
vs
Oklahoma State defense · allowed
124thof 1380.20277 plays
Texas Tech defense · allowed
65thof 138-0.02584 plays
vs
Oklahoma State offense
68thof 1380.011130 plays
Field advancement
Texas Tech offense
40thof 13851.4%vs
Oklahoma State defense · allowed
66thof 13843.1%Texas Tech defense · allowed
48thof 13841.0%vs
Oklahoma State offense
2ndof 13864.8%Away
Home
Texas Tech Offense vs Oklahoma State DefenseTexas Tech · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.11#50
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#720.01
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.062#43
578 plays
EPA/Play
#74-0.002
allowed · 537 plays
0.062#45
249 plays
EPA/Pass
#1030.074
allowed · 231 plays
0.061#53
329 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#43-0.059
allowed · 306 plays
49.5%#32
578 plays
Success Rate
#9647.3%
allowed · 537 plays
51.0%#19
Pass Success Rate
#10245.7%
allowed
48.3%#68
Rush Success Rate
#8247.7%
allowed
51.4%#40
Available Yards %
#6643.1%
allowed
67.9#17
Net Field Position
#7670.9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.073#38
455 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#71-0.014
allowed
7.1#80
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#767.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Texas Tech Defense vs Oklahoma State OffenseOklahoma State · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.18#34
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#40.56
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.028#61
allowed · 556 plays
EPA/Play
#60.228
566 plays
-0.022#71
allowed · 284 plays
EPA/Pass
#110.231
293 plays
-0.035#58
allowed · 272 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#60.225
273 plays
43.7%#42
allowed · 556 plays
Success Rate
#156.5%
566 plays
44.0%#85
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#356.0%
42.2%#20
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#257.1%
41.0%#48
allowed
Available Yards %
#264.8%
73.5#16
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#3669.0
-0.008#80
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#10.331
463 plays
7.1#65
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#186.3
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.047
583 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.217
570 plays
-0.028
563 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.017
533 plays
-0.148
101 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.011
130 plays
-0.025
84 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.202
77 plays
0.055
119 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.191
101 plays
0.105
138 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.054
130 plays