Fourth Down Data
#12Texas Tech4-0 · Big 12@Colorado2-2 · Big 12
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Sat, Oct 3, 7:30 PM ET· Folsom Field· Elevation 5,361 ft· Texas Tech -13 · O/U 50.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 482 mi / 0 miForecast: 72°F · wind 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Texas Tech -13 · O/U 50.5
opened Texas Tech -13.5, now Texas Tech -13
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Texas Tech as road favorite
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 7-6 ATS (13 games) · 4-9 O/U (13 games)
Colorado as home underdog
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-2-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 12-10 ATS (22 games) · 12-9-1 O/U (22 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalTexas Tech · 6 of 9
429.5
Yards / game
399.0
2.60
Points / drive
1.81
4.3
TDs / game
2.8
47.9
3rd-down %
35.1
71.4
RZ TD %
45.5
-0.5
Turnover margin
-0.5
2.5
Sacks / game
2.0
6.0
TFL / game
8.0
15.8
Havoc / game
15.8
44.2 / 55.8
Pass / Rush split
45.5 / 54.5
2026 · Situational matchup
When Texas Tech has the ball
Texas Tech's early-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Colorado's early-down defense ranks 38th of 138.
Texas Tech's passing-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Colorado's passing-down defense ranks 108th of 138.
Texas Tech's third-down offense ranks 24th of 138. Colorado's third-down defense ranks 89th of 138.
Texas Tech's red-zone offense ranks 76th of 138. Colorado's red-zone defense ranks 53rd of 138.
When Colorado has the ball
Colorado's early-down offense ranks 59th of 138. Texas Tech's early-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Colorado's passing-down offense ranks 72nd of 138. Texas Tech's passing-down defense ranks 60th of 138.
Colorado's third-down offense ranks 117th of 138. Texas Tech's third-down defense ranks 67th of 138.
Colorado's red-zone offense ranks 126th of 138. Texas Tech's red-zone defense ranks 32nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.028 last 3 vs 0.030 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.074 last 3 vs -0.101 season)
Offense formabout the same(-0.038 last 3 vs -0.030 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.032 last 3 vs -0.068 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingWill Hammond — 968 yd, 4 TD
RushingJ'Koby Williams — 285 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingKenny Johnson — 290 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJulian Lewis — 733 yd, 6 TD
RushingMicah Welch — 213 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingJoseph Williams — 361 yd, 4 TD