Fourth Down Data
#9Tennessee7-2 · SEC@Texas A&M4-5 · SEC
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Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ET· Kyle Field· Tennessee -2.5 · O/U 42.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 806 mi / 0 miForecast: 68°F · wind 10 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Tennessee -2.5 · O/U 42.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Tennessee as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 12-9 ATS (21 games) · 11-10 O/U (21 games)
Texas A&M as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-4 ATS (8 games) · 3-5 O/U (8 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalTennessee · 8 of 9
393.9
Yards / game
359.2
2.40
Points / drive
2.13
3.8
TDs / game
2.7
37.5
3rd-down %
42.1
70.0
RZ TD %
56.4
0.7
Turnover margin
0.0
4.3
Sacks / game
1.0
8.2
TFL / game
4.3
18.1
Havoc / game
9.1
36.3 / 63.7
Pass / Rush split
45.3 / 54.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Tennessee has the ball
Tennessee's early-down offense ranks 63rd of 138. Texas A&M's early-down defense ranks 73rd of 138.
Tennessee's passing-down offense ranks 131st of 138. Texas A&M's passing-down defense ranks 26th of 138.
Tennessee's third-down offense ranks 108th of 138. Texas A&M's third-down defense ranks 17th of 138.
Tennessee's red-zone offense ranks 24th of 138. Texas A&M's red-zone defense ranks 71st of 138.
When Texas A&M has the ball
Texas A&M's early-down offense ranks 121st of 138. Tennessee's early-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
Texas A&M's passing-down offense ranks 87th of 138. Tennessee's passing-down defense ranks 7th of 138.
Texas A&M's third-down offense ranks 79th of 138. Tennessee's third-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
Texas A&M's red-zone offense ranks 106th of 138. Tennessee's red-zone defense ranks 21st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.028 last 3 vs 0.022 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.254 last 3 vs -0.258 season)
▲Offense form0.082 last 3 vs -0.064 season (+0.146)
Defense formabout the same(-0.068 last 3 vs -0.092 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingGeorge MacIntyre — 853 yd, 2 TD
RushingDeSean Bishop — 1066 yd, 13 TD
ReceivingMike Matthews — 566 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMarcel Reed — 1641 yd, 8 TD
RushingRueben Owens II — 469 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingIsaiah Horton — 392 yd, 3 TD