Sat, Oct 10, 4:15 PM ET· Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium· Tennessee -13.5 · O/U 51
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 573 mi / 0 miForecast: 79°F · wind 10 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Tennessee -13.5 · O/U 51
total opened 52, now 51
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Tennessee as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 12-8 ATS (20 games) · 11-9 O/U (20 games)
Arkansas as home underdog
2026 overall: 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 9-10-1 ATS (20 games) · 9-10 O/U (19 games)
2026 · TraditionalTennessee · 8 of 9
415.0
Yards / game
335.0
2.49
Points / drive
1.79
4.4
TDs / game
2.2
36.9
3rd-down %
44.4
78.6
RZ TD %
52.6
0.6
Turnover margin
-0.6
4.6
Sacks / game
1.6
8.4
TFL / game
4.0
18.2
Havoc / game
8.6
35.4 / 64.6
Pass / Rush split
53.4 / 46.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Tennessee has the ball
Tennessee's early-down offense ranks 75th of 138. Arkansas's early-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Tennessee's passing-down offense ranks 119th of 138. Arkansas's passing-down defense ranks 77th of 138.
Tennessee's third-down offense ranks 86th of 138. Arkansas's third-down defense ranks 132nd of 138.
Tennessee's red-zone offense ranks 29th of 138. Arkansas's red-zone defense ranks 112th of 138.
When Arkansas has the ball
Arkansas's early-down offense ranks 133rd of 138. Tennessee's early-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
Arkansas's passing-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Tennessee's passing-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Arkansas's third-down offense ranks 15th of 138. Tennessee's third-down defense ranks 101st of 138.
Arkansas's red-zone offense ranks 112th of 138. Tennessee's red-zone defense ranks 27th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Tennessee offense
75thof 138-0.001229 plays
vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
37thof 138-0.096Tennessee defense · allowed
4thof 138-0.282vs
Arkansas offense
133rdof 138-0.201206 plays
Passing downs
Tennessee offense
119thof 138-0.165104 plays
vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
77thof 1380.01291 plays
Tennessee defense · allowed
54thof 138-0.063125 plays
vs
Arkansas offense
94thof 138-0.061135 plays
Third down
Tennessee offense
86thof 138-0.00767 plays
vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
132ndof 1380.39160 plays
Tennessee defense · allowed
101stof 1380.13767 plays
vs
Arkansas offense
15thof 1380.36072 plays
Red zone
Tennessee offense
29thof 1380.22545 plays · small sample
vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
112thof 1380.21965 plays
Tennessee defense · allowed
27thof 138-0.29134 plays · small sample
vs
Arkansas offense
112thof 138-0.17554 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Tennessee offense
70thof 13849.2%vs
Arkansas defense · allowed
77thof 13844.2%Tennessee defense · allowed
23rdof 13832.0%vs
Arkansas offense
103rdof 13843.1%Tennessee Offense vs Arkansas DefenseTennessee · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.03#63
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#123-0.21
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.002#73
299 plays
EPA/Play
#1010.034
allowed · 220 plays
-0.322#134
106 plays
EPA/Pass
#40-0.122
allowed · 94 plays
0.180#15
193 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1280.151
allowed · 126 plays
47.2%#73
299 plays
Success Rate
#12049.1%
allowed · 220 plays
34.9%#132
Pass Success Rate
#10246.0%
allowed
53.9%#20
Rush Success Rate
#13153.0%
allowed
49.2%#70
Available Yards %
#7744.2%
allowed
69.7#59
Net Field Position
#10669.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.001#75
229 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#37-0.096
allowed
7.6#110
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#917.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Tennessee Defense vs Arkansas OffenseTennessee · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.26#12
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#118-0.23
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.237#6
allowed · 253 plays
EPA/Play
#120-0.116
267 plays
-0.301#10
allowed · 119 plays
EPA/Pass
#85-0.036
134 plays
-0.180#19
allowed · 134 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#130-0.196
133 plays
37.9%#9
allowed · 253 plays
Success Rate
#10144.6%
267 plays
37.8%#29
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#5347.8%
38.8%#12
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#12941.4%
32.0%#23
allowed
Available Yards %
#10343.1%
73.0#45
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#10572.4
-0.282#4
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#133-0.201
206 plays
7.7#39
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1127.6
2026 · Situational EPATennessee · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.011
309 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.116
267 plays
-0.272
245 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.016
221 plays
0.225
45 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.175
54 plays · small sample
-0.291
34 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.219
65 plays
-0.007
67 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.360
72 plays
0.137
67 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.391
60 plays