Sat, Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET· Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field· Syracuse -6.5 · O/U 50.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 16d / 7dTravel 200 mi / 0 miForecast: 67°F · wind 7 mph · Clear
Market context
Syracuse -6.5 · O/U 50.5
opened Syracuse -5.5, now Syracuse -6.5 · total opened 52, now 50.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Syracuse as road favorite
2026 overall: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
UConn as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 8-7 ATS (15 games) · 8-7 O/U (15 games)
2026 · TraditionalSyracuse · 6 of 9
432.7
Yards / game
422.8
2.34
Points / drive
2.97
3.7
TDs / game
4.5
47.7
3rd-down %
45.1
50.0
RZ TD %
90.9
-0.3
Turnover margin
-0.5
2.7
Sacks / game
1.3
7.0
TFL / game
5.5
14.3
Havoc / game
13.5
50.0 / 50.0
Pass / Rush split
43.0 / 57.0
2026 · Situational matchup
When Syracuse has the ball
Syracuse's early-down offense ranks 90th of 138. UConn's early-down defense ranks 86th of 138.
Syracuse's passing-down offense ranks 89th of 138. UConn's passing-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
Syracuse's third-down offense ranks 60th of 138. UConn's third-down defense ranks 74th of 138.
Syracuse's red-zone offense ranks 129th of 138. UConn's red-zone defense ranks 120th of 138.
When UConn has the ball
UConn's early-down offense ranks 70th of 138. Syracuse's early-down defense ranks 68th of 138.
UConn's passing-down offense ranks 49th of 138. Syracuse's passing-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
UConn's third-down offense ranks 64th of 138. Syracuse's third-down defense ranks 35th of 138.
UConn's red-zone offense ranks 4th of 138. Syracuse's red-zone defense ranks 92nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Syracuse offense
90thof 138-0.021154 plays
vs
UConn defense · allowed
86thof 138-0.008Syracuse defense · allowed
68thof 138-0.045vs
UConn offense
70thof 1380.008158 plays
Passing downs
Syracuse offense
89thof 138-0.04385 plays
vs
UConn defense · allowed
81stof 1380.018109 plays
Syracuse defense · allowed
4thof 138-0.37370 plays
vs
UConn offense
49thof 1380.12496 plays
Third down
Syracuse offense
60thof 1380.15145 plays · small sample
vs
UConn defense · allowed
74thof 1380.02261 plays
Syracuse defense · allowed
35thof 138-0.18539 plays · small sample
vs
UConn offense
64thof 1380.13251 plays · small sample
Red zone
Syracuse offense
129thof 138-0.39554 plays · small sample
vs
UConn defense · allowed
120thof 1380.28630 plays · small sample
Syracuse defense · allowed
92ndof 1380.08217 plays · small sample
vs
UConn offense
4thof 1380.49125 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Syracuse offense
38thof 13855.5%vs
UConn defense · allowed
95thof 13846.7%Syracuse defense · allowed
25thof 13832.2%vs
UConn offense
84thof 13847.4%Syracuse Offense vs UConn DefenseEven · 5-5-1
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.04#80
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#680.01
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.014#87
195 plays
EPA/Play
#860.009
allowed · 192 plays
-0.053#92
102 plays
EPA/Pass
#1180.166
allowed · 115 plays
0.029#71
93 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#15-0.225
allowed · 77 plays
45.1%#94
195 plays
Success Rate
#9446.9%
allowed · 192 plays
46.1%#67
Pass Success Rate
#7643.1%
allowed
44.1%#108
Rush Success Rate
#13053.3%
allowed
55.5%#38
Available Yards %
#9546.7%
allowed
67.9#35
Net Field Position
#6672.1
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.021#90
154 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#86-0.008
allowed
7.3#86
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#467.7
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Syracuse Defense vs UConn OffenseSyracuse · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.10#43
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#390.12
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.130#28
allowed · 141 plays · small sample
EPA/Play
#490.092
204 plays
-0.239#16
allowed · 67 plays
EPA/Pass
#250.232
90 plays
-0.030#63
allowed · 74 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#91-0.019
114 plays
44.0%#66
allowed · 141 plays · small sample
Success Rate
#6248.0%
204 plays
38.6%#41
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#5347.8%
43.3%#45
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#7148.2%
32.2%#25
allowed
Available Yards %
#8447.4%
72.9#46
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#8371.1
-0.045#68
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#700.008
158 plays
8.0#31
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1147.6
2026 · Situational EPASyracuse · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.003
202 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.087
208 plays
-0.129
153 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.007
200 plays
-0.395
54 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.491
25 plays · small sample
0.082
17 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.286
30 plays · small sample
0.151
45 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Off
0.132
51 plays · small sample
-0.185
39 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.022
61 plays