Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET· Lane Stadium/Worsham Field· Virginia Tech -15.5 · O/U 59
Rest 14d / 8dTravel 2,274 mi / 0 miForecast: 35°F · wind 16 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Virginia Tech -15.5 · O/U 59
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Stanford as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-6 ATS (9 games) · 7-2 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 9-24 ATS (33 games) · 15-18 O/U (33 games)
Virginia Tech as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 1-4 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 16-13-1 ATS (30 games) · 19-11 O/U (30 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalVirginia Tech · 8 of 9
358.7
Yards / game
423.3
1.89
Points / drive
2.64
2.4
TDs / game
4.1
31.2
3rd-down %
41.7
56.0
RZ TD %
62.2
-0.1
Turnover margin
-0.6
0.7
Sacks / game
3.1
3.8
TFL / game
9.3
8.0
Havoc / game
17.1
54.1 / 45.9
Pass / Rush split
48.9 / 51.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Stanford has the ball
Stanford's early-down offense ranks 88th of 138. Virginia Tech's early-down defense ranks 112th of 138.
Stanford's passing-down offense ranks 133rd of 138. Virginia Tech's passing-down defense ranks 75th of 138.
Stanford's third-down offense ranks 132nd of 138. Virginia Tech's third-down defense ranks 76th of 138.
Stanford's red-zone offense ranks 101st of 138. Virginia Tech's red-zone defense ranks 111th of 138.
When Virginia Tech has the ball
Virginia Tech's early-down offense ranks 69th of 138. Stanford's early-down defense ranks 128th of 138.
Virginia Tech's passing-down offense ranks 29th of 138. Stanford's passing-down defense ranks 134th of 138.
Virginia Tech's third-down offense ranks 56th of 138. Stanford's third-down defense ranks 129th of 138.
Virginia Tech's red-zone offense ranks 74th of 138. Stanford's red-zone defense ranks 135th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.050 last 3 vs -0.141 season (+0.191)
▲Defense form0.102 last 3 vs 0.176 season (-0.074)
▼Offense form-0.025 last 3 vs 0.053 season (-0.079)
▼Defense form0.118 last 3 vs -0.074 season (+0.192)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDavis Warren — 2203 yd, 14 TD
RushingMicah Ford — 751 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingCaden High — 449 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingEthan Grunkemeyer — 2431 yd, 18 TD
RushingJeffrey Overton, Jr. — 762 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingQue'Sean Brown — 722 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Stanford offense
88thof 138-0.022350 plays
vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
112thof 1380.065Stanford defense · allowed
128thof 1380.117vs
Virginia Tech offense
69thof 1380.014412 plays
Passing downs
Stanford offense
133rdof 138-0.234224 plays
vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
75thof 138-0.014206 plays
Stanford defense · allowed
134thof 1380.318203 plays
vs
Virginia Tech offense
29thof 1380.173211 plays
Third down
Stanford offense
132ndof 138-0.242125 plays
vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
76thof 1380.061121 plays
Stanford defense · allowed
129thof 1380.277116 plays
vs
Virginia Tech offense
56thof 1380.095127 plays
Red zone
Stanford offense
101stof 138-0.08860 plays
vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
111thof 1380.14366 plays
Stanford defense · allowed
135thof 1380.32095 plays
vs
Virginia Tech offense
74thof 138-0.00697 plays
Field advancement
Stanford offense
127thof 13839.0%vs
Virginia Tech defense · allowed
42ndof 13839.3%Stanford defense · allowed
127thof 13853.4%vs
Virginia Tech offense
41stof 13851.4%Away
Home
Stanford Offense vs Virginia Tech DefenseVirginia Tech · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.21#110
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#86-0.08
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.046#95
464 plays
EPA/Play
#910.028
allowed · 459 plays
-0.003#75
255 plays
EPA/Pass
#1290.169
allowed · 236 plays
-0.099#118
209 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#25-0.122
allowed · 223 plays
42.2%#126
464 plays
Success Rate
#6445.1%
allowed · 459 plays
40.4%#110
Pass Success Rate
#11146.7%
allowed
44.5%#110
Rush Success Rate
#1039.6%
allowed
39.0%#127
Available Yards %
#4239.3%
allowed
74.6#135
Net Field Position
#7371.0
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.022#88
350 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1120.065
allowed
7.5#111
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#147.9
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Stanford Defense vs Virginia Tech OffenseVirginia Tech · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.36#129
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#400.15
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.160#130
allowed · 483 plays
EPA/Play
#590.029
537 plays
0.143#127
allowed · 250 plays
EPA/Pass
#370.094
260 plays
0.179#133
allowed · 233 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#96-0.031
277 plays
49.9%#129
allowed · 483 plays
Success Rate
#7246.6%
537 plays
47.1%#114
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#5246.5%
51.7%#127
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#9046.6%
53.4%#127
allowed
Available Yards %
#4151.4%
69.8#105
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#2668.5
0.117#128
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#690.014
412 plays
6.3#125
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#486.7
2026 · Situational EPAVirginia Tech · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.045
460 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.027
550 plays
0.148
493 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
0.020
474 plays
-0.088
60 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.006
97 plays
0.320
95 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.143
66 plays
-0.242
125 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.095
127 plays
0.277
116 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.061
121 plays