Sat, Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET· Notre Dame Stadium· Notre Dame -36.5 · O/U 55.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,922 mi / 0 miForecast: 68°F · wind 11 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Notre Dame -36.5 · O/U 55.5
opened Notre Dame -35.5, now Notre Dame -36.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Stanford as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-5 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 9-22 ATS (31 games) · 13-18 O/U (31 games)
Notre Dame as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 25-18 ATS (43 games) · 23-20 O/U (43 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNotre Dame · 9 of 9
336.6
Yards / game
428.4
1.63
Points / drive
3.88
1.8
TDs / game
4.8
34.2
3rd-down %
40.4
50.0
RZ TD %
70.8
0.8
Turnover margin
2.0
0.8
Sacks / game
2.8
4.0
TFL / game
6.6
8.6
Havoc / game
15.2
54.0 / 46.0
Pass / Rush split
43.4 / 56.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Stanford has the ball
Stanford's early-down offense ranks 100th of 138. Notre Dame's early-down defense ranks 3rd of 138.
Stanford's passing-down offense ranks 128th of 138. Notre Dame's passing-down defense ranks 21st of 138.
Stanford's third-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Notre Dame's third-down defense ranks 28th of 138.
Stanford's red-zone offense ranks 101st of 138. Notre Dame's red-zone defense ranks 50th of 138.
When Notre Dame has the ball
Notre Dame's early-down offense ranks 3rd of 138. Stanford's early-down defense ranks 130th of 138.
Notre Dame's passing-down offense ranks 71st of 138. Stanford's passing-down defense ranks 128th of 138.
Notre Dame's third-down offense ranks 104th of 138. Stanford's third-down defense ranks 120th of 138.
Notre Dame's red-zone offense ranks 70th of 138. Stanford's red-zone defense ranks 125th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.161 last 3 vs -0.127 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.185 last 3 vs 0.209 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.304 last 3 vs 0.266 season)
▼Defense form-0.218 last 3 vs -0.344 season (+0.125)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDavis Warren — 1207 yd, 5 TD
RushingMicah Ford — 302 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingCaden High — 266 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCJ Carr — 1197 yd, 13 TD
RushingAneyas Williams — 266 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingJordan Faison — 371 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Stanford offense
100thof 138-0.060195 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
3rdof 138-0.284153 plays
Stanford defense · allowed
130thof 1380.140229 plays
vs
Notre Dame offense
3rdof 1380.257211 plays
Passing downs
Stanford offense
128thof 138-0.228132 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
21stof 138-0.198107 plays
Stanford defense · allowed
128thof 1380.250118 plays
vs
Notre Dame offense
71stof 1380.02178 plays
Third down
Stanford offense
118thof 138-0.17173 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
28thof 138-0.19364 plays
Stanford defense · allowed
120thof 1380.25764 plays
vs
Notre Dame offense
104thof 138-0.12252 plays · small sample
Red zone
Stanford offense
101stof 138-0.10135 plays · small sample
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
50thof 138-0.13130 plays · small sample
Stanford defense · allowed
125thof 1380.33262 plays
vs
Notre Dame offense
70thof 1380.01669 plays
Field advancement
Stanford offense
129thof 13835.8%vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
7thof 13828.7%Stanford defense · allowed
128thof 13853.6%vs
Notre Dame offense
11thof 13862.0%Away
Home
Stanford Offense vs Notre Dame DefenseNotre Dame · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.20#112
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#90.29
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.065#102
258 plays
EPA/Play
#5-0.267
allowed · 206 plays
0.004#64
137 plays
EPA/Pass
#11-0.287
allowed · 93 plays
-0.143#123
121 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#8-0.250
allowed · 113 plays
41.1%#130
258 plays
Success Rate
#1138.3%
allowed · 206 plays
38.7%#120
Pass Success Rate
#4440.0%
allowed
43.8%#114
Rush Success Rate
#537.0%
allowed
35.8%#129
Available Yards %
#728.7%
allowed
74.3#130
Net Field Position
#4173.2
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.060#100
195 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#3-0.284
allowed · 153 plays
7.5#103
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#976.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Stanford Defense vs Notre Dame OffenseNotre Dame · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.33#134
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#50.43
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.166#133
allowed · 290 plays
EPA/Play
#60.244
260 plays
0.212#129
allowed · 160 plays
EPA/Pass
#150.268
112 plays
0.109#117
allowed · 130 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#100.226
148 plays
50.0%#127
allowed · 290 plays
Success Rate
#458.1%
260 plays
50.3%#128
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#957.1%
49.4%#105
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#458.8%
53.6%#128
allowed
Available Yards %
#1162.0%
70.2#89
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#3568.0
0.140#130
allowed · 229 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#30.257
211 plays
6.0#131
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#95.9
2026 · Situational EPANotre Dame · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.057
256 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.233
250 plays
0.160
295 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.266
208 plays
-0.101
35 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.016
69 plays
0.332
62 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.131
30 plays · small sample
-0.171
73 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.122
52 plays · small sample
0.257
64 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.193
64 plays