Fourth Down Data
Louisiana5-2 · Sun Belt@Southern Miss1-5 · Sun Belt
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Sat, Oct 24, 5:00 PM ET· Roberts Stadium· Louisiana -10 · O/U 52.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 178 mi / 0 miForecast: 71°F · wind 8 mph · Clear
Market context
Louisiana -10 · O/U 52.5
opened Louisiana -10.5, now Louisiana -10
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Louisiana as road favorite
2026 overall: 5-1-1 ATS (7 games) · 2-5 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 9-13 ATS (22 games) · 12-10 O/U (22 games)
Southern Miss as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 8-14 ATS (22 games) · 13-9 O/U (22 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalLouisiana · 6 of 9
377.9
Yards / game
394.5
2.62
Points / drive
1.89
3.7
TDs / game
3.3
41.7
3rd-down %
32.9
74.1
RZ TD %
63.6
0.6
Turnover margin
-0.5
1.3
Sacks / game
2.3
5.3
TFL / game
6.0
11.7
Havoc / game
11.7
35.6 / 64.4
Pass / Rush split
52.2 / 47.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Louisiana has the ball
Louisiana's early-down offense ranks 61st of 138. Southern Miss's early-down defense ranks 64th of 138.
Louisiana's passing-down offense ranks 31st of 138. Southern Miss's passing-down defense ranks 68th of 138.
Louisiana's third-down offense ranks 75th of 138. Southern Miss's third-down defense ranks 118th of 138.
Louisiana's red-zone offense ranks 9th of 138. Southern Miss's red-zone defense ranks 57th of 138.
When Southern Miss has the ball
Southern Miss's early-down offense ranks 41st of 138. Louisiana's early-down defense ranks 38th of 138.
Southern Miss's passing-down offense ranks 51st of 138. Louisiana's passing-down defense ranks 87th of 138.
Southern Miss's third-down offense ranks 123rd of 138. Louisiana's third-down defense ranks 79th of 138.
Southern Miss's red-zone offense ranks 94th of 138. Louisiana's red-zone defense ranks 76th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.144 last 3 vs 0.046 season (+0.098)
▼Defense form-0.006 last 3 vs -0.145 season (+0.140)
▲Offense form0.071 last 3 vs -0.001 season (+0.072)
Defense formabout the same(0.090 last 3 vs 0.058 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLunch Winfield — 1153 yd, 4 TD
RushingLunch Winfield — 463 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingKeDarius Wade — 226 yd, 2 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLandry Lyddy — 1032 yd, 7 TD
RushingSteven Robinson — 432 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingMario Sanders — 492 yd, 5 TD