Fourth Down Data
Boston College2-2 · ACC@#21SMU3-1 · ACC
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Sat, Oct 3, 12:00 PM ET· Gerald J. Ford Stadium· SMU -21 · O/U 55.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,541 mi / 0 miForecast: 75°F · wind 8 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
SMU -21 · O/U 55.5
opened SMU -20.5, now SMU -21 · total opened 57, now 55.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Boston College as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 0-4 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 13-14 ATS (27 games) · 11-16 O/U (27 games)
SMU as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-2-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 1-5 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 18-13 ATS (31 games) · 15-16 O/U (31 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSMU · 8 of 9
352.5
Yards / game
550.8
1.45
Points / drive
3.05
2.3
TDs / game
5.0
28.0
3rd-down %
52.0
38.5
RZ TD %
65.0
0.3
Turnover margin
-1.3
2.5
Sacks / game
3.0
6.5
TFL / game
8.3
13.8
Havoc / game
15.8
42.4 / 57.6
Pass / Rush split
50.4 / 49.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Boston College has the ball
Boston College's early-down offense ranks 108th of 138. SMU's early-down defense ranks 111th of 138.
Boston College's passing-down offense ranks 135th of 138. SMU's passing-down defense ranks 59th of 138.
Boston College's third-down offense ranks 133rd of 138. SMU's third-down defense ranks 8th of 138.
Boston College's red-zone offense ranks 133rd of 138. SMU's red-zone defense ranks 132nd of 138.
When SMU has the ball
SMU's early-down offense ranks 35th of 138. Boston College's early-down defense ranks 95th of 138.
SMU's passing-down offense ranks 46th of 138. Boston College's passing-down defense ranks 107th of 138.
SMU's third-down offense ranks 5th of 138. Boston College's third-down defense ranks 48th of 138.
SMU's red-zone offense ranks 78th of 138. Boston College's red-zone defense ranks 56th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.197 last 3 vs -0.171 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.080 last 3 vs -0.038 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.239 last 3 vs 0.237 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.068 last 3 vs -0.063 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMason McKenzie — 759 yd, 3 TD
RushingMason McKenzie — 363 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingDawson Pough — 146 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingKevin Jennings — 1453 yd, 12 TD
RushingKendrick Raphael — 373 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingYamir Knight — 345 yd, 2 TD