Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· Notre Dame Stadium· Notre Dame -29.5 · O/U 52.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 774 mi / 0 miForecast: 42°F · wind 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Notre Dame -29.5 · O/U 52.5
opened Notre Dame -30, now Notre Dame -29.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Boston College as road underdog
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 3-6 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 15-15 ATS (30 games) · 12-18 O/U (30 games)
Notre Dame as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-4-1 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-1-1 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 26-18-1 ATS (45 games) · 25-20 O/U (45 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNotre Dame · 8 of 9
351.4
Yards / game
439.3
1.94
Points / drive
3.67
2.7
TDs / game
4.8
37.4
3rd-down %
42.5
53.3
RZ TD %
69.2
0.1
Turnover margin
1.8
1.8
Sacks / game
1.9
6.0
TFL / game
4.7
11.7
Havoc / game
12.2
42.4 / 57.6
Pass / Rush split
47.4 / 52.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Boston College has the ball
Boston College's early-down offense ranks 80th of 138. Notre Dame's early-down defense ranks 13th of 138.
Boston College's passing-down offense ranks 134th of 138. Notre Dame's passing-down defense ranks 45th of 138.
Boston College's third-down offense ranks 86th of 138. Notre Dame's third-down defense ranks 38th of 138.
Boston College's red-zone offense ranks 123rd of 138. Notre Dame's red-zone defense ranks 94th of 138.
When Notre Dame has the ball
Notre Dame's early-down offense ranks 6th of 138. Boston College's early-down defense ranks 94th of 138.
Notre Dame's passing-down offense ranks 46th of 138. Boston College's passing-down defense ranks 82nd of 138.
Notre Dame's third-down offense ranks 95th of 138. Boston College's third-down defense ranks 40th of 138.
Notre Dame's red-zone offense ranks 48th of 138. Boston College's red-zone defense ranks 81st of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.041 last 3 vs -0.055 season (+0.096)
▼Defense form0.066 last 3 vs 0.005 season (+0.061)
Offense formabout the same(0.249 last 3 vs 0.257 season)
▼Defense form0.090 last 3 vs -0.247 season (+0.337)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMason McKenzie — 1616 yd, 10 TD
RushingMason McKenzie — 676 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingJavarius Green — 322 yd, 2 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCJ Carr — 2168 yd, 21 TD
RushingNolan James Jr. — 571 yd, 9 TD
ReceivingJordan Faison — 574 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Boston College offense
80thof 138-0.009413 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
13thof 138-0.138314 plays
Boston College defense · allowed
94thof 1380.029vs
Notre Dame offense
6thof 1380.207375 plays
Passing downs
Boston College offense
134thof 138-0.234205 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
45thof 138-0.076187 plays
Boston College defense · allowed
82ndof 1380.009203 plays
vs
Notre Dame offense
46thof 1380.085164 plays
Third down
Boston College offense
86thof 1380.002115 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
38thof 138-0.106113 plays
Boston College defense · allowed
40thof 138-0.094116 plays
vs
Notre Dame offense
95thof 138-0.043107 plays
Red zone
Boston College offense
123rdof 138-0.24576 plays
vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
94thof 1380.08368 plays
Boston College defense · allowed
81stof 1380.026116 plays
vs
Notre Dame offense
48thof 1380.056118 plays
Field advancement
Boston College offense
93rdof 13843.9%vs
Notre Dame defense · allowed
9thof 13832.3%Boston College defense · allowed
78thof 13845.2%vs
Notre Dame offense
6thof 13861.4%Away
Home
Boston College Offense vs Notre Dame DefenseNotre Dame · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.22#112
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#120.37
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.036#89
536 plays
EPA/Play
#17-0.128
allowed · 414 plays
-0.182#122
225 plays
EPA/Pass
#39-0.104
allowed · 190 plays
0.071#46
311 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#16-0.148
allowed · 224 plays
45.7%#83
536 plays
Success Rate
#2641.8%
allowed · 414 plays
38.7%#127
Pass Success Rate
#4541.4%
allowed
50.8%#33
Rush Success Rate
#1541.4%
allowed
43.9%#93
Available Yards %
#932.3%
allowed
70.7#78
Net Field Position
#874.4
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.009#80
413 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#13-0.138
allowed · 314 plays
8.1#136
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1226.5
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Boston College Defense vs Notre Dame OffenseNotre Dame · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.05#82
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#30.59
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.004#73
allowed · 554 plays
EPA/Play
#70.216
474 plays
-0.050#64
allowed · 229 plays
EPA/Pass
#160.189
232 plays
0.029#85
allowed · 325 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#30.241
242 plays
47.1%#94
allowed · 554 plays
Success Rate
#555.9%
474 plays
46.2%#105
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#854.3%
47.1%#73
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#157.4%
45.2%#78
allowed
Available Yards %
#661.4%
68.0#131
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#2368.4
0.029#94
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#60.207
375 plays
7.1#70
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#45.6
2026 · Situational EPANotre Dame · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.040
539 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.210
470 plays
0.000
561 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.130
423 plays
-0.245
76 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.056
118 plays
0.026
116 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.083
68 plays
0.002
115 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.043
107 plays
-0.094
116 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.106
113 plays