Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM ET· Joe Aillet Stadium· Louisiana Tech -17.5 · O/U 55
Rest 9d / 7dTravel 212 mi / 0 miForecast: 53°F · wind 5 mph · Clear
Market context
Louisiana Tech -17.5 · O/U 55
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Southern Miss as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 11-17 ATS (28 games) · 14-14 O/U (28 games)
Louisiana Tech as home favorite
2026 overall: 8-1 ATS (9 games) · 6-3 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 12-14 ATS (26 games) · 14-12 O/U (26 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalLouisiana Tech · 8 of 9
394.4
Yards / game
384.6
1.94
Points / drive
2.44
3.4
TDs / game
4.2
29.8
3rd-down %
41.7
65.6
RZ TD %
65.8
-0.1
Turnover margin
1.2
2.4
Sacks / game
2.8
5.6
TFL / game
8.3
12.2
Havoc / game
17.6
49.9 / 50.1
Pass / Rush split
43.8 / 56.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When Southern Miss has the ball
Southern Miss's early-down offense ranks 45th of 138. Louisiana Tech's early-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
Southern Miss's passing-down offense ranks 78th of 138. Louisiana Tech's passing-down defense ranks 55th of 138.
Southern Miss's third-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Louisiana Tech's third-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Southern Miss's red-zone offense ranks 51st of 138. Louisiana Tech's red-zone defense ranks 2nd of 138.
When Louisiana Tech has the ball
Louisiana Tech's early-down offense ranks 54th of 138. Southern Miss's early-down defense ranks 95th of 138.
Louisiana Tech's passing-down offense ranks 33rd of 138. Southern Miss's passing-down defense ranks 59th of 138.
Louisiana Tech's third-down offense ranks 42nd of 138. Southern Miss's third-down defense ranks 117th of 138.
Louisiana Tech's red-zone offense ranks 93rd of 138. Southern Miss's red-zone defense ranks 58th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.045 last 3 vs -0.016 season)
Defense formabout the same(0.054 last 3 vs 0.057 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.089 last 3 vs 0.054 season)
▲Defense form-0.266 last 3 vs -0.212 season (-0.054)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingLandry Lyddy — 1326 yd, 8 TD
RushingSteven Robinson — 782 yd, 10 TD
ReceivingMario Sanders — 698 yd, 6 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBlake Baker — 1504 yd, 14 TD
RushingAndrew Burnette — 385 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJalen Mickens — 628 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Southern Miss offense
45thof 1380.052391 plays
vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
10thof 138-0.162Southern Miss defense · allowed
95thof 1380.029vs
Louisiana Tech offense
54thof 1380.040394 plays
Passing downs
Southern Miss offense
78thof 138-0.037213 plays
vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
55thof 138-0.054231 plays
Southern Miss defense · allowed
59thof 138-0.046221 plays
vs
Louisiana Tech offense
33rdof 1380.134202 plays
Third down
Southern Miss offense
118thof 138-0.156125 plays
vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
54thof 138-0.010126 plays
Southern Miss defense · allowed
117thof 1380.180137 plays
vs
Louisiana Tech offense
42ndof 1380.151120 plays
Red zone
Southern Miss offense
51stof 1380.05184 plays
vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
2ndof 138-0.58175 plays
Southern Miss defense · allowed
58thof 138-0.071114 plays
vs
Louisiana Tech offense
93rdof 138-0.05499 plays
Field advancement
Southern Miss offense
90thof 13844.3%vs
Louisiana Tech defense · allowed
25thof 13837.6%Southern Miss defense · allowed
111thof 13849.6%vs
Louisiana Tech offense
66thof 13848.1%Away
Home
Southern Miss Offense vs Louisiana Tech DefenseLouisiana Tech · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.15#95
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#390.16
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.006#79
517 plays
EPA/Play
#10-0.166
allowed · 496 plays
-0.100#99
264 plays
EPA/Pass
#15-0.205
allowed · 215 plays
0.092#36
253 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#19-0.137
allowed · 281 plays
45.3%#89
517 plays
Success Rate
#3042.5%
allowed · 496 plays
38.6%#128
Pass Success Rate
#4141.0%
allowed
52.2%#26
Rush Success Rate
#3744.5%
allowed
44.3%#90
Available Yards %
#2537.6%
allowed
71.5#94
Net Field Position
#5871.6
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.052#45
391 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#10-0.162
allowed
6.9#64
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#128.0
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Southern Miss Defense vs Louisiana Tech OffenseLouisiana Tech · 9 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.36#128
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#600.06
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.065#107
allowed · 570 plays
EPA/Play
#530.044
508 plays
0.096#110
allowed · 234 plays
EPA/Pass
#120.220
227 plays
0.043#92
allowed · 336 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#117-0.098
281 plays
48.4%#114
allowed · 570 plays
Success Rate
#9345.1%
508 plays
44.1%#87
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#2150.7%
49.8%#105
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#13040.6%
49.6%#111
allowed
Available Yards %
#6648.1%
70.0#101
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#866.6
0.029#95
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#540.040
394 plays
6.8#97
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#356.5
2026 · Situational EPALouisiana Tech · 5 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.001
519 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.060
517 plays
0.052
593 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.159
503 plays
0.051
84 plays
Red Zone · Off
-0.054
99 plays
-0.071
114 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.581
75 plays
-0.156
125 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.151
120 plays
0.180
137 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.010
126 plays