Fourth Down Data
#22Boise State4-1 · Pac-12@Fresno State4-1 · Pac-12
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Sat, Oct 10, 10:30 PM ET· Bulldog Stadium· Boise State -8.5 · O/U 48.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 505 mi / 0 miForecast: 80°F · wind 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Boise State -8.5 · O/U 48.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Boise State as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 11-12-2 ATS (25 games) · 9-16 O/U (25 games)
Fresno State as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 4-4 ATS (8 games) · 3-5 O/U (8 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalBoise State · 7 of 9
438.2
Yards / game
367.2
2.90
Points / drive
2.23
4.0
TDs / game
3.0
52.9
3rd-down %
35.9
71.4
RZ TD %
47.6
0.6
Turnover margin
1.6
2.4
Sacks / game
2.8
6.6
TFL / game
5.4
13.6
Havoc / game
12.6
38.2 / 61.8
Pass / Rush split
45.3 / 54.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Boise State has the ball
Boise State's early-down offense ranks 24th of 138. Fresno State's early-down defense ranks 14th of 138.
Boise State's passing-down offense ranks 26th of 138. Fresno State's passing-down defense ranks 12th of 138.
Boise State's third-down offense ranks 29th of 138. Fresno State's third-down defense ranks 23rd of 138.
Boise State's red-zone offense ranks 53rd of 138. Fresno State's red-zone defense ranks 31st of 138.
When Fresno State has the ball
Fresno State's early-down offense ranks 41st of 138. Boise State's early-down defense ranks 124th of 138.
Fresno State's passing-down offense ranks 25th of 138. Boise State's passing-down defense ranks 93rd of 138.
Fresno State's third-down offense ranks 112th of 138. Boise State's third-down defense ranks 64th of 138.
Fresno State's red-zone offense ranks 125th of 138. Boise State's red-zone defense ranks 7th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.160 last 3 vs 0.156 season)
▲Defense form-0.172 last 3 vs -0.045 season (-0.127)
Offense formabout the same(0.001 last 3 vs -0.047 season)
▲Defense form-0.227 last 3 vs -0.172 season (-0.055)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMaddux Madsen — 1058 yd, 11 TD
RushingDylan Riley — 685 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingRasean Jones — 359 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Mandal — 1034 yd, 6 TD
RushingRayshon Luke — 286 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingJosiah Freeman — 322 yd, 2 TD