Fourth Down Data
Rutgers2-4 · Big Ten@#24Northwestern5-1 · Big Ten
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Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET· Ryan Field· Northwestern -16.5 · O/U 58.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 694 mi / 0 miForecast: 64°F · wind 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Northwestern -16.5 · O/U 58.5
opened Northwestern -16, now Northwestern -16.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Rutgers as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 17-10-2 ATS (29 games) · 11-16-1 O/U (28 games)
Northwestern as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 4-1-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 2-0-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 13-10 ATS (23 games) · 11-10-1 O/U (22 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNorthwestern · 7 of 9
403.3
Yards / game
424.5
2.57
Points / drive
3.05
4.2
TDs / game
3.8
41.9
3rd-down %
43.5
74.1
RZ TD %
67.9
-0.8
Turnover margin
1.2
1.2
Sacks / game
1.5
4.2
TFL / game
4.3
8.5
Havoc / game
12.5
45.4 / 54.6
Pass / Rush split
37.6 / 62.4
2026 · Situational matchup
When Rutgers has the ball
Rutgers's early-down offense ranks 69th of 138. Northwestern's early-down defense ranks 112th of 138.
Rutgers's passing-down offense ranks 14th of 138. Northwestern's passing-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Rutgers's third-down offense ranks 80th of 138. Northwestern's third-down defense ranks 13th of 138.
Rutgers's red-zone offense ranks 59th of 138. Northwestern's red-zone defense ranks 36th of 138.
When Northwestern has the ball
Northwestern's early-down offense ranks 23rd of 138. Rutgers's early-down defense ranks 127th of 138.
Northwestern's passing-down offense ranks 19th of 138. Rutgers's passing-down defense ranks 99th of 138.
Northwestern's third-down offense ranks 38th of 138. Rutgers's third-down defense ranks 63rd of 138.
Northwestern's red-zone offense ranks 33rd of 138. Rutgers's red-zone defense ranks 62nd of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.094 last 3 vs -0.011 season (+0.105)
▼Defense form0.225 last 3 vs 0.159 season (+0.065)
Offense formabout the same(0.143 last 3 vs 0.168 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.100 last 3 vs -0.067 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDylan Lonergan — 1066 yd, 10 TD
RushingAntwan Raymond — 498 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingKJ Duff — 741 yd, 9 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAidan Chiles — 1398 yd, 9 TD
RushingCaleb Komolafe — 401 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingGriffin Wilde — 482 yd, 3 TD