Sat, Oct 17, 12:30 PM ET· Capital One Field at Maryland Stadium· Maryland -3.5 · O/U 59.5
Rest 14d / 7dTravel 170 mi / 0 miForecast: 55°F · wind 18 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Maryland -3.5 · O/U 59.5
opened Maryland -4.5, now Maryland -3.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Rutgers as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 16-10-2 ATS (28 games) · 10-16-1 O/U (27 games)
Maryland as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 11-13 ATS (24 games) · 13-10-1 O/U (24 games)
2026 · TraditionalRutgers · 5 of 9
395.6
Yards / game
377.7
2.35
Points / drive
2.23
4.0
TDs / game
3.3
36.7
3rd-down %
34.1
71.4
RZ TD %
65.4
-0.8
Turnover margin
0.3
1.2
Sacks / game
2.7
3.8
TFL / game
5.5
7.6
Havoc / game
12.2
45.0 / 55.0
Pass / Rush split
56.3 / 43.7
2026 · Situational matchup
When Rutgers has the ball
Rutgers's early-down offense ranks 95th of 138. Maryland's early-down defense ranks 58th of 138.
Rutgers's passing-down offense ranks 24th of 138. Maryland's passing-down defense ranks 91st of 138.
Rutgers's third-down offense ranks 110th of 138. Maryland's third-down defense ranks 51st of 138.
Rutgers's red-zone offense ranks 107th of 138. Maryland's red-zone defense ranks 127th of 138.
When Maryland has the ball
Maryland's early-down offense ranks 66th of 138. Rutgers's early-down defense ranks 128th of 138.
Maryland's passing-down offense ranks 128th of 138. Rutgers's passing-down defense ranks 104th of 138.
Maryland's third-down offense ranks 127th of 138. Rutgers's third-down defense ranks 81st of 138.
Maryland's red-zone offense ranks 49th of 138. Rutgers's red-zone defense ranks 64th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Rutgers offense
95thof 138-0.041192 plays
vs
Maryland defense · allowed
58thof 138-0.033Rutgers defense · allowed
128thof 1380.139vs
Maryland offense
66thof 1380.028250 plays
Passing downs
Rutgers offense
24thof 1380.248107 plays
vs
Maryland defense · allowed
91stof 1380.079132 plays
Rutgers defense · allowed
104thof 1380.129100 plays
vs
Maryland offense
128thof 138-0.239146 plays
Third down
Rutgers offense
110thof 138-0.15060 plays
vs
Maryland defense · allowed
51stof 138-0.06179 plays
Rutgers defense · allowed
81stof 1380.04154 plays · small sample
vs
Maryland offense
127thof 138-0.26583 plays
Red zone
Rutgers offense
107thof 138-0.12859 plays · small sample
vs
Maryland defense · allowed
127thof 1380.31542 plays · small sample
Rutgers defense · allowed
64thof 138-0.08152 plays · small sample
vs
Maryland offense
49thof 1380.10064 plays
Field advancement
Rutgers offense
63rdof 13850.5%vs
Maryland defense · allowed
72ndof 13842.7%Rutgers defense · allowed
105thof 13848.6%vs
Maryland offense
101stof 13843.1%Rutgers Offense vs Maryland DefenseRutgers · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.03#81
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#97-0.07
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.070#106
249 plays
EPA/Play
#75-0.009
allowed · 306 plays
-0.051#88
114 plays
EPA/Pass
#67-0.045
allowed · 146 plays
-0.086#118
135 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#810.023
allowed · 160 plays
47.0%#68
249 plays
Success Rate
#9347.1%
allowed · 306 plays
44.7%#78
Pass Success Rate
#6442.3%
allowed
48.9%#63
Rush Success Rate
#8247.5%
allowed
50.5%#63
Available Yards %
#7242.7%
allowed
70.6#70
Net Field Position
#11668.8
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.041#95
192 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#58-0.033
allowed
6.5#42
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#567.4
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Rutgers Defense vs Maryland OffenseMaryland · 7 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.32#130
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#650.02
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.159#129
allowed · 245 plays
EPA/Play
#105-0.068
325 plays
0.086#100
allowed · 113 plays
EPA/Pass
#115-0.157
195 plays
0.222#135
allowed · 132 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#550.066
130 plays
47.3%#96
allowed · 245 plays
Success Rate
#8845.5%
325 plays
42.0%#61
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#6445.6%
48.8%#102
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#10245.4%
48.6%#105
allowed
Available Yards %
#10143.1%
68.8#117
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#4769.2
0.139#128
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#660.028
250 plays
7.6#42
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#937.3
2026 · Situational EPAEven · 3-3-0
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.074
254 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.078
320 plays
0.145
256 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.009
307 plays
-0.128
59 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
0.100
64 plays
-0.081
52 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.315
42 plays · small sample
-0.150
60 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.265
83 plays
0.041
54 plays · small sample
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.061
79 plays