Fourth Down Data
Pittsburgh5-2 · ACC@#1Miami6-0 · ACC
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Sat, Oct 24, 12:00 PM ET· Hard Rock Stadium· Miami -20 · O/U 48.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 1,001 mi / 0 miForecast: 80°F · wind 17 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Miami -20 · O/U 48.5
opened Miami -21, now Miami -20 · total opened 51.5, now 48.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Pittsburgh as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 6-12 ATS (18 games) · 12-6 O/U (18 games)
Miami as home favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 3-0 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 3-4 O/U (7 games)
Since 2020: 15-20 ATS (35 games) · 18-17 O/U (35 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMiami · 7 of 9
450.1
Yards / game
559.5
2.58
Points / drive
3.93
4.0
TDs / game
6.3
42.9
3rd-down %
51.6
59.3
RZ TD %
80.0
0.6
Turnover margin
0.8
2.4
Sacks / game
3.0
6.4
TFL / game
5.2
13.0
Havoc / game
11.8
49.6 / 50.4
Pass / Rush split
46.4 / 53.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Pittsburgh has the ball
Pittsburgh's early-down offense ranks 70th of 138. Miami's early-down defense ranks 44th of 138.
Pittsburgh's passing-down offense ranks 60th of 138. Miami's passing-down defense ranks 32nd of 138.
Pittsburgh's third-down offense ranks 47th of 138. Miami's third-down defense ranks 30th of 138.
Pittsburgh's red-zone offense ranks 55th of 138. Miami's red-zone defense ranks 2nd of 138.
When Miami has the ball
Miami's early-down offense ranks 2nd of 138. Pittsburgh's early-down defense ranks 29th of 138.
Miami's passing-down offense ranks 48th of 138. Pittsburgh's passing-down defense ranks 33rd of 138.
Miami's third-down offense ranks 29th of 138. Pittsburgh's third-down defense ranks 37th of 138.
Miami's red-zone offense ranks 27th of 138. Pittsburgh's red-zone defense ranks 27th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.015 last 3 vs 0.079 season (-0.094)
▼Defense form-0.031 last 3 vs -0.114 season (+0.083)
▼Offense form0.206 last 3 vs 0.324 season (-0.118)
Defense formabout the same(-0.189 last 3 vs -0.214 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMason Heintschel — 1304 yd, 14 TD
RushingDamon Ferguson Jr. — 438 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingCataurus Hicks — 500 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDarian Mensah — 1764 yd, 18 TD
RushingJavian Mallory — 397 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingMalachi Toney — 758 yd, 8 TD