Sat, Oct 17, 12:00 PM ET· Alumni Stadium· Pittsburgh -7 · O/U 45.5
Rest 7d / 14dTravel 477 mi / 0 miForecast: 52°F · wind 15 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Pittsburgh -7 · O/U 45.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Pittsburgh as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-2 ATS (6 games) · 2-4 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 13-6 ATS (19 games) · 10-9 O/U (19 games)
Boston College as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 0-5 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 15-9 ATS (24 games) · 14-10 O/U (24 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalPittsburgh · 7 of 9
459.8
Yards / game
346.4
2.69
Points / drive
1.49
4.5
TDs / game
2.2
45.7
3rd-down %
31.8
66.7
RZ TD %
40.0
0.8
Turnover margin
0.0
2.5
Sacks / game
2.4
6.3
TFL / game
7.4
13.2
Havoc / game
14.0
51.1 / 48.9
Pass / Rush split
43.8 / 56.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Pittsburgh has the ball
Pittsburgh's early-down offense ranks 72nd of 138. Boston College's early-down defense ranks 72nd of 138.
Pittsburgh's passing-down offense ranks 54th of 138. Boston College's passing-down defense ranks 88th of 138.
Pittsburgh's third-down offense ranks 38th of 138. Boston College's third-down defense ranks 68th of 138.
Pittsburgh's red-zone offense ranks 22nd of 138. Boston College's red-zone defense ranks 86th of 138.
When Boston College has the ball
Boston College's early-down offense ranks 103rd of 138. Pittsburgh's early-down defense ranks 29th of 138.
Boston College's passing-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Pittsburgh's passing-down defense ranks 15th of 138.
Boston College's third-down offense ranks 118th of 138. Pittsburgh's third-down defense ranks 14th of 138.
Boston College's red-zone offense ranks 133rd of 138. Pittsburgh's red-zone defense ranks 38th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.132 last 3 vs 0.086 season)
▲Defense form-0.208 last 3 vs -0.154 season (-0.054)
Offense formabout the same(-0.168 last 3 vs -0.149 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.070 last 3 vs -0.037 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMason Heintschel — 1304 yd, 14 TD
RushingDamon Ferguson Jr. — 319 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingCataurus Hicks — 365 yd, 3 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMason McKenzie — 967 yd, 5 TD
RushingMason McKenzie — 437 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJavarius Green — 169 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Pittsburgh offense
72ndof 1380.019288 plays
vs
Boston College defense · allowed
72ndof 138-0.009Pittsburgh defense · allowed
29thof 138-0.107vs
Boston College offense
103rdof 138-0.069239 plays
Passing downs
Pittsburgh offense
54thof 1380.086150 plays
vs
Boston College defense · allowed
88thof 1380.074122 plays
Pittsburgh defense · allowed
15thof 138-0.226147 plays
vs
Boston College offense
135thof 138-0.299119 plays
Third down
Pittsburgh offense
38thof 1380.23482 plays
vs
Boston College defense · allowed
68thof 1380.01169 plays
Pittsburgh defense · allowed
14thof 138-0.27082 plays
vs
Boston College offense
118thof 138-0.20066 plays
Red zone
Pittsburgh offense
22ndof 1380.22449 plays · small sample
vs
Boston College defense · allowed
86thof 1380.01556 plays · small sample
Pittsburgh defense · allowed
38thof 138-0.19132 plays · small sample
vs
Boston College offense
133rdof 138-0.54043 plays · small sample
Field advancement
Pittsburgh offense
32ndof 13855.6%vs
Boston College defense · allowed
67thof 13842.3%Pittsburgh defense · allowed
14thof 13831.8%vs
Boston College offense
107thof 13841.5%Away
Home
Pittsburgh Offense vs Boston College DefenseEven · 5-5-1
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.10#47
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#710.00
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.038#65
373 plays
EPA/Play
#57-0.043
allowed · 335 plays
0.040#58
188 plays
EPA/Pass
#72-0.037
allowed · 140 plays
0.036#70
185 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#54-0.047
allowed · 195 plays
45.8%#84
373 plays
Success Rate
#5944.8%
allowed · 335 plays
44.7%#79
Pass Success Rate
#10645.7%
allowed
47.0%#92
Rush Success Rate
#4344.1%
allowed
55.6%#32
Available Yards %
#6742.3%
allowed
68.8#41
Net Field Position
#13366.9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.019#72
288 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#72-0.009
allowed
7.2#88
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#777.1
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Pittsburgh Defense vs Boston College OffensePittsburgh · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.30#15
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#130-0.35
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.135#23
allowed · 311 plays
EPA/Play
#126-0.146
317 plays
-0.016#78
allowed · 173 plays
EPA/Pass
#136-0.362
137 plays
-0.285#5
allowed · 138 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#740.018
180 plays
39.2%#11
allowed · 311 plays
Success Rate
#12442.3%
317 plays
38.3%#25
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#13235.0%
38.3%#8
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#8147.8%
31.8%#14
allowed
Available Yards %
#10741.5%
72.9#39
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#8071.1
-0.107#29
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#103-0.069
239 plays
8.1#13
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1217.8
2026 · Situational EPAPittsburgh · 6 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.038
373 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.146
317 plays
-0.134
313 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.043
335 plays
0.224
49 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Off
-0.540
43 plays · small sample
-0.191
32 plays · small sample
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
0.015
56 plays · small sample
0.234
82 plays
3rd Down · Off
-0.200
66 plays
-0.270
82 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
0.011
69 plays