Sat, Nov 7, 3:30 PM ET· Ohio Stadium· Ohio State -14 · O/U 45.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 2,054 mi / 0 miForecast: 56°F · wind 9 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Ohio State -14 · O/U 45.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Oregon as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-5 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 4-6-1 ATS (11 games) · 6-5 O/U (11 games)
Ohio State as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-2 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 6-3 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
Since 2020: 26-21-1 ATS (48 games) · 25-20-3 O/U (48 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOhio State · 5 of 9
423.1
Yards / game
476.3
2.11
Points / drive
3.39
4.0
TDs / game
5.0
35.4
3rd-down %
44.3
66.7
RZ TD %
66.7
0.0
Turnover margin
0.3
2.3
Sacks / game
1.4
4.7
TFL / game
4.4
13.4
Havoc / game
12.6
52.3 / 47.7
Pass / Rush split
44.2 / 55.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Oregon has the ball
Oregon's early-down offense ranks 60th of 138. Ohio State's early-down defense ranks 24th of 138.
Oregon's passing-down offense ranks 97th of 138. Ohio State's passing-down defense ranks 25th of 138.
Oregon's third-down offense ranks 110th of 138. Ohio State's third-down defense ranks 43rd of 138.
Oregon's red-zone offense ranks 75th of 138. Ohio State's red-zone defense ranks 23rd of 138.
When Ohio State has the ball
Ohio State's early-down offense ranks 24th of 138. Oregon's early-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
Ohio State's passing-down offense ranks 66th of 138. Oregon's passing-down defense ranks 32nd of 138.
Ohio State's third-down offense ranks 68th of 138. Oregon's third-down defense ranks 6th of 138.
Ohio State's red-zone offense ranks 51st of 138. Oregon's red-zone defense ranks 18th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.291 last 3 vs -0.003 season (-0.288)
▲Defense form-0.209 last 3 vs -0.129 season (-0.080)
▼Offense form0.005 last 3 vs 0.147 season (-0.142)
▲Defense form-0.254 last 3 vs -0.192 season (-0.062)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDante Moore — 926 yd, 9 TD
RushingJordon Davison — 422 yd, 7 TD
ReceivingDakorien Moore — 417 yd, 4 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJulian Sayin — 2007 yd, 19 TD
RushingBo Jackson — 516 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Smith — 984 yd, 12 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
Oregon offense
60thof 1380.032326 plays
vs
Ohio State defense · allowed
24thof 138-0.115265 plays
Oregon defense · allowed
71stof 138-0.014vs
Ohio State offense
24thof 1380.108316 plays
Passing downs
Oregon offense
97thof 138-0.067169 plays
vs
Ohio State defense · allowed
25thof 138-0.128170 plays
Oregon defense · allowed
32ndof 138-0.103160 plays
vs
Ohio State offense
66thof 1380.027135 plays
Third down
Oregon offense
110thof 138-0.11097 plays
vs
Ohio State defense · allowed
43rdof 138-0.09199 plays
Oregon defense · allowed
6thof 138-0.323101 plays
vs
Ohio State offense
68thof 1380.04488 plays
Red zone
Oregon offense
75thof 1380.01278 plays
vs
Ohio State defense · allowed
23rdof 138-0.21538 plays · small sample
Oregon defense · allowed
18thof 138-0.26464 plays
vs
Ohio State offense
51stof 1380.06895 plays
Field advancement
Oregon offense
82ndof 13845.7%vs
Ohio State defense · allowed
6thof 13831.1%Oregon defense · allowed
19thof 13835.2%vs
Ohio State offense
11thof 13860.4%Away
Home
Oregon Offense vs Ohio State DefenseOhio State · 8 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.04#82
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#50.42
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.055#99
426 plays
EPA/Play
#15-0.147
allowed · 354 plays
-0.090#97
231 plays
EPA/Pass
#2-0.313
allowed · 192 plays
-0.013#90
195 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#940.049
allowed · 162 plays
45.1%#96
426 plays
Success Rate
#1941.2%
allowed · 354 plays
38.1%#127
Pass Success Rate
#133.0%
allowed
53.3%#15
Rush Success Rate
#10649.3%
allowed
45.7%#82
Available Yards %
#631.1%
allowed
68.3#30
Net Field Position
#2173.9
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
0.032#60
326 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#24-0.115
allowed · 265 plays
6.7#55
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#607.3
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Oregon Defense vs Ohio State OffenseOhio State · 10 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
0.31#16
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#70.44
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.089#35
allowed · 428 plays
EPA/Play
#250.134
402 plays
-0.112#39
allowed · 195 plays
EPA/Pass
#40.329
189 plays
-0.070#38
allowed · 233 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#99-0.039
213 plays
42.8%#34
allowed · 428 plays
Success Rate
#654.2%
402 plays
38.6%#22
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#755.6%
45.7%#53
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#1753.1%
35.2%#19
allowed
Available Yards %
#1160.4%
71.2#77
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#2868.3
-0.014#71
allowed
Early Downs EPA/Play
#240.108
316 plays
6.9#85
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#256.4
2026 · Situational EPAOhio State · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
-0.046
444 plays
Non-garbage · Off
0.142
406 plays
-0.093
438 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.152
357 plays
0.012
78 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.068
95 plays
-0.264
64 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.215
38 plays · small sample
-0.110
97 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.044
88 plays
-0.323
101 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.091
99 plays