Fourth Down Data
Oregon State5-2 · Pac-12@Fresno State4-3 · Pac-12
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Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM ET· Bulldog Stadium· Oregon State -6.5 · O/U 56.5
Rest 14d / 14dTravel 566 mi / 0 miForecast: 59°F · wind 5 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Oregon State -6.5 · O/U 56.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Oregon State as road favorite
2026 overall: 6-1 ATS (7 games) · 6-1 O/U (7 games)
2026 as road favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 6-9 ATS (15 games) · 8-7 O/U (15 games)
Fresno State as home underdog
2026 overall: 5-2 ATS (7 games) · 4-3 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOregon State · 7 of 9
527.0
Yards / game
351.1
3.66
Points / drive
2.38
5.7
TDs / game
3.1
47.7
3rd-down %
36.1
81.3
RZ TD %
59.3
0.7
Turnover margin
1.1
2.6
Sacks / game
2.1
4.7
TFL / game
5.1
13.7
Havoc / game
11.6
57.6 / 42.4
Pass / Rush split
47.1 / 52.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When Oregon State has the ball
Oregon State's early-down offense ranks 6th of 138. Fresno State's early-down defense ranks 49th of 138.
Oregon State's passing-down offense ranks 39th of 138. Fresno State's passing-down defense ranks 60th of 138.
Oregon State's third-down offense ranks 22nd of 138. Fresno State's third-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Oregon State's red-zone offense ranks 3rd of 138. Fresno State's red-zone defense ranks 15th of 138.
When Fresno State has the ball
Fresno State's early-down offense ranks 34th of 138. Oregon State's early-down defense ranks 71st of 138.
Fresno State's passing-down offense ranks 11th of 138. Oregon State's passing-down defense ranks 95th of 138.
Fresno State's third-down offense ranks 94th of 138. Oregon State's third-down defense ranks 54th of 138.
Fresno State's red-zone offense ranks 105th of 138. Oregon State's red-zone defense ranks 96th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.386 last 3 vs 0.271 season (+0.115)
Defense formabout the same(-0.105 last 3 vs -0.109 season)
▲Offense form0.090 last 3 vs 0.021 season (+0.070)
Defense formabout the same(-0.080 last 3 vs -0.078 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBraden Atkinson — 2604 yd, 24 TD
RushingAJ Newberry — 431 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJesse Legree — 1040 yd, 14 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJayden Mandal — 1393 yd, 8 TD
RushingRayshon Luke — 333 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingJosiah Freeman — 445 yd, 2 TD