Fourth Down Data
Ohio2-2 · Mid-American@Kent State2-2 · Mid-American
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Sat, Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET· Dix Stadium· Ohio -3 · O/U 50.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 132 mi / 0 miForecast: 63°F · wind 6 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Ohio -3 · O/U 50.5
opened Ohio -4, now Ohio -3
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Ohio as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 8-9 ATS (17 games) · 7-10 O/U (17 games)
Kent State as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-1 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 4-7 ATS (11 games) · 6-5 O/U (11 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOhio · 6 of 9
368.8
Yards / game
280.0
2.82
Points / drive
1.52
3.5
TDs / game
1.8
50.9
3rd-down %
41.3
78.6
RZ TD %
70.0
-0.8
Turnover margin
-0.8
0.8
Sacks / game
2.5
6.0
TFL / game
5.3
10.0
Havoc / game
11.3
39.8 / 60.2
Pass / Rush split
39.9 / 60.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Ohio has the ball
Ohio's early-down offense ranks 41st of 138. Kent State's early-down defense ranks 73rd of 138.
Ohio's passing-down offense ranks 60th of 138. Kent State's passing-down defense ranks 6th of 138.
Ohio's third-down offense ranks 39th of 138. Kent State's third-down defense ranks 36th of 138.
Ohio's red-zone offense ranks 60th of 138. Kent State's red-zone defense ranks 121st of 138.
When Kent State has the ball
Kent State's early-down offense ranks 128th of 138. Ohio's early-down defense ranks 126th of 138.
Kent State's passing-down offense ranks 59th of 138. Ohio's passing-down defense ranks 136th of 138.
Kent State's third-down offense ranks 22nd of 138. Ohio's third-down defense ranks 106th of 138.
Kent State's red-zone offense ranks 49th of 138. Ohio's red-zone defense ranks 109th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.183 last 3 vs 0.131 season (+0.052)
▲Defense form0.074 last 3 vs 0.144 season (-0.070)
▲Offense form-0.111 last 3 vs -0.166 season (+0.055)
▲Defense form-0.121 last 3 vs 0.026 season (-0.147)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMatt Vezza — 400 yd, 4 TD
RushingVictor Rosa — 189 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingRiley Neer — 316 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDru DeShields — 540 yd, 3 TD
RushingDru DeShields — 183 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingDa'Realyst Clark — 178 yd, 1 TD