Fourth Down Data
#5Ohio State3-1 · Big Ten@#14Iowa4-0 · Big Ten
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Sat, Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET· Kinnick Stadium· Ohio State -14.5 · O/U 45.5
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 460 mi / 0 miForecast: 64°F · wind 8 mph · Clear
Market context
Ohio State -14.5 · O/U 45.5
opened Ohio State -13.5, now Ohio State -14.5 · total opened 46, now 45.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Ohio State as road favorite
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 0-5 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 16-10-2 ATS (28 games) · 12-16 O/U (28 games)
Iowa as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 4-3 ATS (7 games) · 1-6 O/U (7 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalOhio State · 7 of 9
522.0
Yards / game
429.0
4.00
Points / drive
2.91
5.8
TDs / game
3.8
44.4
3rd-down %
39.2
76.2
RZ TD %
69.2
0.5
Turnover margin
1.0
1.8
Sacks / game
2.3
5.5
TFL / game
4.5
15.0
Havoc / game
12.8
49.4 / 50.6
Pass / Rush split
49.2 / 50.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When Ohio State has the ball
Ohio State's early-down offense ranks 13th of 138. Iowa's early-down defense ranks 29th of 138.
Ohio State's passing-down offense ranks 111th of 138. Iowa's passing-down defense ranks 34th of 138.
Ohio State's third-down offense ranks 67th of 138. Iowa's third-down defense ranks 4th of 138.
Ohio State's red-zone offense ranks 35th of 138. Iowa's red-zone defense ranks 21st of 138.
When Iowa has the ball
Iowa's early-down offense ranks 38th of 138. Ohio State's early-down defense ranks 64th of 138.
Iowa's passing-down offense ranks 125th of 138. Ohio State's passing-down defense ranks 98th of 138.
Iowa's third-down offense ranks 123rd of 138. Ohio State's third-down defense ranks 53rd of 138.
Iowa's red-zone offense ranks 88th of 138. Ohio State's red-zone defense ranks 18th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(0.212 last 3 vs 0.253 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.116 last 3 vs -0.145 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.125 last 3 vs 0.123 season)
▼Defense form-0.179 last 3 vs -0.331 season (+0.151)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJulian Sayin — 1206 yd, 10 TD
RushingBo Jackson — 283 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Smith — 617 yd, 7 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingHank Brown — 700 yd, 5 TD
RushingKamari Moulton — 284 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingTony Diaz — 247 yd, 1 TD