Fourth Down Data
Akron1-3 · Mid-American@Central Michigan2-2 · Mid-American
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Sat, Oct 3, 3:30 PM ET· Kelly/Shorts Stadium· Central Michigan -6.5 · O/U 47
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 240 mi / 0 miForecast: 60°F · wind 5 mph · Clear
Market context
Central Michigan -6.5 · O/U 47
opened Central Michigan -6, now Central Michigan -6.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Akron as road underdog
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 18-18 ATS (36 games) · 18-15-2 O/U (35 games)
Central Michigan as home favorite
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-1 O/U (1 game)
Last season (2025): 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 7-14 ATS (21 games) · 13-7 O/U (20 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalAkron · 6 of 9
337.5
Yards / game
238.5
1.50
Points / drive
1.28
2.5
TDs / game
1.5
38.0
3rd-down %
35.2
66.7
RZ TD %
40.0
-1.0
Turnover margin
-0.5
0.5
Sacks / game
1.3
3.5
TFL / game
2.8
9.3
Havoc / game
10.3
50.6 / 49.4
Pass / Rush split
30.7 / 69.3
2026 · Situational matchup
When Akron has the ball
Akron's early-down offense ranks 109th of 138. Central Michigan's early-down defense ranks 41st of 138.
Akron's passing-down offense ranks 130th of 138. Central Michigan's passing-down defense ranks 70th of 138.
Akron's third-down offense ranks 113th of 138. Central Michigan's third-down defense ranks 123rd of 138.
Akron's red-zone offense ranks 16th of 138. Central Michigan's red-zone defense ranks 87th of 138.
When Central Michigan has the ball
Central Michigan's early-down offense ranks 124th of 138. Akron's early-down defense ranks 63rd of 138.
Central Michigan's passing-down offense ranks 134th of 138. Akron's passing-down defense ranks 47th of 138.
Central Michigan's third-down offense ranks 137th of 138. Akron's third-down defense ranks 80th of 138.
Central Michigan's red-zone offense ranks 97th of 138. Akron's red-zone defense ranks 47th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.206 last 3 vs -0.189 season)
▲Defense form-0.090 last 3 vs -0.012 season (-0.078)
▲Offense form-0.209 last 3 vs -0.294 season (+0.085)
Defense formabout the same(0.006 last 3 vs 0.041 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingBrayden Roggow — 425 yd, 2 TD
RushingJordan Gant — 187 yd, 2 TD
ReceivingMarcel Williams — 165 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAngel Flores — 123 yd, 0 TD
RushingAngel Flores — 320 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJustin Ruffin, Jr. — 46 yd, 0 TD