Fourth Down Data
UL Monroe0-4 · Sun Belt@South Alabama2-2 · Sun Belt
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Sat, Oct 3, 7:00 PM ET· Hancock Whitney Stadium· South Alabama -14 · O/U 57
Early-season ratings are provisional. Opponent adjustment relies on a thin schedule graph until teams are connected through more games; expect movement through late September.
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 269 mi / 0 miForecast: 80°F · wind 5 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
South Alabama -14 · O/U 57
total opened 55.5, now 57
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
UL Monroe as road underdog
2026 overall: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 5-1 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 13-24-1 ATS (38 games) · 21-16-1 O/U (38 games)
South Alabama as home favorite
2026 overall: 2-2 ATS (4 games) · 4-0 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 0-4 ATS (4 games) · 3-1 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 15-15 ATS (30 games) · 17-13 O/U (30 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalSouth Alabama · 8 of 9
344.5
Yards / game
421.3
1.97
Points / drive
2.93
2.5
TDs / game
3.8
33.3
3rd-down %
46.8
60.0
RZ TD %
58.8
-0.3
Turnover margin
1.0
1.0
Sacks / game
1.8
3.8
TFL / game
4.3
9.0
Havoc / game
10.0
46.2 / 53.8
Pass / Rush split
40.4 / 59.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When UL Monroe has the ball
UL Monroe's early-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. South Alabama's early-down defense ranks 137th of 138.
UL Monroe's passing-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. South Alabama's passing-down defense ranks 138th of 138.
UL Monroe's third-down offense ranks 116th of 138. South Alabama's third-down defense ranks 84th of 138.
UL Monroe's red-zone offense ranks 87th of 138. South Alabama's red-zone defense ranks 116th of 138.
When South Alabama has the ball
South Alabama's early-down offense ranks 68th of 138. UL Monroe's early-down defense ranks 107th of 138.
South Alabama's passing-down offense ranks 8th of 138. UL Monroe's passing-down defense ranks 132nd of 138.
South Alabama's third-down offense ranks 17th of 138. UL Monroe's third-down defense ranks 134th of 138.
South Alabama's red-zone offense ranks 95th of 138. UL Monroe's red-zone defense ranks 58th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.020 last 3 vs -0.052 season (+0.072)
Defense formabout the same(0.133 last 3 vs 0.153 season)
Offense formabout the same(0.095 last 3 vs 0.056 season)
▼Defense form0.262 last 3 vs 0.154 season (+0.108)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingAidan Armenta — 493 yd, 3 TD
RushingAustin Carlisle — 219 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingMarcellus Jackson — 141 yd, 0 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJared Hollins — 458 yd, 3 TD
RushingPJ Martin — 270 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Jones-Thomas — 236 yd, 1 TD