Fourth Down Data
North Dakota State7-2 · Mountain West@Hawai'i3-6 · Mountain West
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Sat, Nov 14, 11:00 PM ET· Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex· North Dakota State -6.5 · O/U 38.5
Rest — / 7dTravel — / 0 miForecast: 77°F · wind 27 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
North Dakota State -6.5 · O/U 38.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
North Dakota State as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-4-1 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 1-3 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Hawai'i as home underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 2-7 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-0 ATS (3 games) · 1-2 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 19-8-1 ATS (28 games) · 11-17 O/U (28 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNorth Dakota State · 7 of 9
351.8
Yards / game
371.9
2.28
Points / drive
1.76
2.9
TDs / game
2.3
39.7
3rd-down %
40.6
65.5
RZ TD %
47.1
1.0
Turnover margin
0.1
1.9
Sacks / game
1.4
5.6
TFL / game
4.2
12.1
Havoc / game
9.9
40.1 / 59.9
Pass / Rush split
60.1 / 39.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When North Dakota State has the ball
North Dakota State's early-down offense ranks 99th of 138. Hawai'i's early-down defense ranks 104th of 138.
North Dakota State's passing-down offense ranks 75th of 138. Hawai'i's passing-down defense ranks 91st of 138.
North Dakota State's third-down offense ranks 83rd of 138. Hawai'i's third-down defense ranks 41st of 138.
North Dakota State's red-zone offense ranks 112th of 138. Hawai'i's red-zone defense ranks 136th of 138.
When Hawai'i has the ball
Hawai'i's early-down offense ranks 96th of 138. North Dakota State's early-down defense ranks 2nd of 138.
Hawai'i's passing-down offense ranks 100th of 138. North Dakota State's passing-down defense ranks 1st of 138.
Hawai'i's third-down offense ranks 84th of 138. North Dakota State's third-down defense ranks 18th of 138.
Hawai'i's red-zone offense ranks 131st of 138. North Dakota State's red-zone defense ranks 29th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.069 last 3 vs -0.033 season)
▼Defense form-0.229 last 3 vs -0.326 season (+0.097)
▲Offense form0.117 last 3 vs -0.027 season (+0.144)
▲Defense form-0.062 last 3 vs 0.015 season (-0.077)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingNathan Hayes — 1710 yd, 13 TD
RushingMyles Mitchell — 403 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingJackson Williams — 614 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingMicah Alejado — 2489 yd, 10 TD
RushingDeVon Rice — 444 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingKainoa "Kaikai" Carvalho — 421 yd, 0 TD