Fourth Down Data
NC State3-3 · ACC@Stanford3-4 · ACC
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Fri, Oct 23, 10:30 PM ET· Stanford Stadium· NC State -6.5 · O/U 55.5
Rest 13d / 6dTravel 2,391 mi / 0 miForecast: 59°F · wind 7 mph · Clear
Market context
NC State -6.5 · O/U 55.5
opened NC State -7.5, now NC State -6.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
NC State as road favorite
2026 overall: 2-4 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 1-0 ATS (1 game) · 1-0 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 5-6 ATS (11 games) · 4-7 O/U (11 games)
Stanford as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-5 ATS (7 games) · 5-2 O/U (7 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 3-2 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 11-15-1 ATS (27 games) · 16-10 O/U (26 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNC State · 7 of 9
426.3
Yards / game
342.9
2.72
Points / drive
1.68
4.2
TDs / game
2.1
51.7
3rd-down %
33.3
66.7
RZ TD %
55.0
-0.2
Turnover margin
0.0
1.3
Sacks / game
0.6
3.5
TFL / game
3.9
10.3
Havoc / game
8.1
47.7 / 52.3
Pass / Rush split
54.1 / 45.9
2026 · Situational matchup
When NC State has the ball
NC State's early-down offense ranks 88th of 138. Stanford's early-down defense ranks 125th of 138.
NC State's passing-down offense ranks 53rd of 138. Stanford's passing-down defense ranks 131st of 138.
NC State's third-down offense ranks 28th of 138. Stanford's third-down defense ranks 96th of 138.
NC State's red-zone offense ranks 91st of 138. Stanford's red-zone defense ranks 133rd of 138.
When Stanford has the ball
Stanford's early-down offense ranks 104th of 138. NC State's early-down defense ranks 118th of 138.
Stanford's passing-down offense ranks 129th of 138. NC State's passing-down defense ranks 127th of 138.
Stanford's third-down offense ranks 121st of 138. NC State's third-down defense ranks 86th of 138.
Stanford's red-zone offense ranks 111th of 138. NC State's red-zone defense ranks 128th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form0.011 last 3 vs 0.062 season (-0.051)
▼Defense form0.244 last 3 vs 0.024 season (+0.221)
▼Offense form-0.343 last 3 vs -0.189 season (-0.155)
▲Defense form0.087 last 3 vs 0.144 season (-0.057)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCJ Bailey — 1507 yd, 9 TD
RushingJayden Duke Scott — 358 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingKeenan Jackson — 400 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDavis Warren — 1630 yd, 7 TD
RushingMicah Ford — 529 yd, 8 TD
ReceivingCaden High — 337 yd, 3 TD