Fourth Down Data
New Mexico State3-6 · Conference USA@Missouri State3-6 · Conference USA
Share →
Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ET· Plaster Stadium· Missouri State -1.5 · O/U 49
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 835 mi / 0 miForecast: 50°F · wind 7 mph · Clear
Market context
Missouri State -1.5 · O/U 49
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
New Mexico State as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 3-6 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-2 ATS (3 games) · 0-3 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 18-16-1 ATS (35 games) · 18-17 O/U (35 games)
Missouri State as home favorite
2026 overall: 5-4 ATS (9 games) · 3-6 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 2-0 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 5-1 ATS (6 games) · 3-3 O/U (6 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalEven · 4-4-1
346.7
Yards / game
354.9
1.44
Points / drive
2.06
2.3
TDs / game
2.4
40.9
3rd-down %
36.6
59.1
RZ TD %
45.5
-0.8
Turnover margin
0.0
2.2
Sacks / game
1.9
6.0
TFL / game
4.6
12.2
Havoc / game
12.2
48.8 / 51.2
Pass / Rush split
47.8 / 52.2
2026 · Situational matchup
When New Mexico State has the ball
New Mexico State's early-down offense ranks 135th of 138. Missouri State's early-down defense ranks 43rd of 138.
New Mexico State's passing-down offense ranks 73rd of 138. Missouri State's passing-down defense ranks 79th of 138.
New Mexico State's third-down offense ranks 13th of 138. Missouri State's third-down defense ranks 108th of 138.
New Mexico State's red-zone offense ranks 91st of 138. Missouri State's red-zone defense ranks 53rd of 138.
When Missouri State has the ball
Missouri State's early-down offense ranks 92nd of 138. New Mexico State's early-down defense ranks 35th of 138.
Missouri State's passing-down offense ranks 81st of 138. New Mexico State's passing-down defense ranks 57th of 138.
Missouri State's third-down offense ranks 55th of 138. New Mexico State's third-down defense ranks 88th of 138.
Missouri State's red-zone offense ranks 125th of 138. New Mexico State's red-zone defense ranks 36th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
Offense formabout the same(-0.143 last 3 vs -0.121 season)
Defense formabout the same(-0.056 last 3 vs -0.051 season)
Offense formabout the same(-0.019 last 3 vs -0.039 season)
▲Defense form-0.096 last 3 vs -0.000 season (-0.095)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTrey Hedden — 1162 yd, 7 TD
RushingJames Jones — 940 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingAJ Williams III — 409 yd, 5 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingHenry Belin IV — 1302 yd, 8 TD
RushingConnor Lair — 325 yd, 4 TD
ReceivingIsaiah Myers — 941 yd, 8 TD