Fourth Down Data
New Mexico State2-3 · Conference USA@Florida International2-2 · Conference USA
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Wed, Oct 7, 7:30 PM ET· Pitbull Stadium· Florida International -3.5 · O/U 47.5
Rest 6d / 11dTravel 1,647 mi / 0 miForecast: 80°F · wind 4 mph · Rain, Partially cloudy
Market context
Florida International -3.5 · O/U 47.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
New Mexico State as road underdog
2026 overall: 3-2 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-3 ATS (6 games) · 4-2 O/U (6 games)
Since 2020: 18-15-1 ATS (34 games) · 18-16 O/U (34 games)
Florida International as home favorite
2026 overall: 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
2026 as home favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 3-1 ATS (4 games) · 1-3 O/U (4 games)
Since 2020: 6-7 ATS (13 games) · 6-7 O/U (13 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalFlorida International · 5 of 9
402.0
Yards / game
418.0
1.80
Points / drive
1.71
3.0
TDs / game
2.0
43.9
3rd-down %
46.3
64.3
RZ TD %
35.7
-0.6
Turnover margin
-1.0
2.4
Sacks / game
2.5
5.4
TFL / game
7.0
11.4
Havoc / game
14.0
50.6 / 49.4
Pass / Rush split
52.2 / 47.8
2026 · Situational matchup
When New Mexico State has the ball
New Mexico State's early-down offense ranks 131st of 138. Florida International's early-down defense ranks 7th of 138.
New Mexico State's passing-down offense ranks 41st of 138. Florida International's passing-down defense ranks 23rd of 138.
New Mexico State's third-down offense ranks 3rd of 138. Florida International's third-down defense ranks 10th of 138.
New Mexico State's red-zone offense ranks 67th of 138. Florida International's red-zone defense ranks 16th of 138.
When Florida International has the ball
Florida International's early-down offense ranks 134th of 138. New Mexico State's early-down defense ranks 48th of 138.
Florida International's passing-down offense ranks 112th of 138. New Mexico State's passing-down defense ranks 76th of 138.
Florida International's third-down offense ranks 61st of 138. New Mexico State's third-down defense ranks 102nd of 138.
Florida International's red-zone offense ranks 138th of 138. New Mexico State's red-zone defense ranks 74th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.100 last 3 vs -0.027 season (-0.073)
Defense formabout the same(-0.018 last 3 vs -0.008 season)
▲Offense form-0.107 last 3 vs -0.158 season (+0.051)
Defense formabout the same(-0.222 last 3 vs -0.220 season)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTrey Hedden — 887 yd, 5 TD
RushingJames Jones — 510 yd, 3 TD
ReceivingTK King — 286 yd, 3 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJJ Kohl — 1065 yd, 5 TD
RushingAnthony Carrie — 195 yd, 0 TD
ReceivingMaguire Anderson — 382 yd, 2 TD