Fourth Down Data
Nevada3-6 · Mountain West@Northern Illinois0-9 · Mountain West
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Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET· Huskie Stadium· Nevada -7 · O/U 46.5
Rest 8d / 7dTravel 1,625 mi / 0 miForecast: 42°F · wind 7 mph · Clear
Market context
Nevada -7 · O/U 46.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Nevada as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-4-1 ATS (9 games) · 3-6 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road favorite: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 0-2 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): none in this role
Since 2020: 4-7 ATS (11 games) · 3-8 O/U (11 games)
Northern Illinois as home underdog
2026 overall: 3-6 ATS (9 games) · 5-4 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home underdog: 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Last season (2025): 0-3 ATS (3 games) · 2-1 O/U (3 games)
Since 2020: 4-12 ATS (16 games) · 9-7 O/U (16 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNevada · 7 of 9
309.4
Yards / game
333.9
1.71
Points / drive
1.52
2.4
TDs / game
2.0
35.4
3rd-down %
33.1
53.8
RZ TD %
50.0
-1.6
Turnover margin
-0.7
2.2
Sacks / game
1.1
5.1
TFL / game
3.6
12.8
Havoc / game
7.7
44.6 / 55.4
Pass / Rush split
52.4 / 47.6
2026 · Situational matchup
When Nevada has the ball
Nevada's early-down offense ranks 130th of 138. Northern Illinois's early-down defense ranks 125th of 138.
Nevada's passing-down offense ranks 117th of 138. Northern Illinois's passing-down defense ranks 118th of 138.
Nevada's third-down offense ranks 81st of 138. Northern Illinois's third-down defense ranks 130th of 138.
Nevada's red-zone offense ranks 88th of 138. Northern Illinois's red-zone defense ranks 97th of 138.
When Northern Illinois has the ball
Northern Illinois's early-down offense ranks 65th of 138. Nevada's early-down defense ranks 27th of 138.
Northern Illinois's passing-down offense ranks 95th of 138. Nevada's passing-down defense ranks 20th of 138.
Northern Illinois's third-down offense ranks 124th of 138. Nevada's third-down defense ranks 33rd of 138.
Northern Illinois's red-zone offense ranks 128th of 138. Nevada's red-zone defense ranks 96th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.400 last 3 vs -0.140 season (-0.260)
▲Defense form-0.161 last 3 vs -0.106 season (-0.055)
▲Offense form0.036 last 3 vs -0.090 season (+0.125)
Defense formabout the same(0.205 last 3 vs 0.162 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingCarter Jones — 654 yd, 3 TD
RushingDominic Kelley — 584 yd, 5 TD
ReceivingGary Givens III — 308 yd, 1 TD
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingTaron Dickens — 1876 yd, 9 TD
RushingTelly Johnson Jr. — 629 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingDeAree Rogers — 719 yd, 5 TD