Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ET· Dreamstyle Stadium· Elevation 5,100 ft· New Mexico -14.5 · O/U 46.5
Rest 7d / 8dTravel 484 mi / 0 miForecast: 55°F · wind 3 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
New Mexico -14.5 · O/U 46.5
total opened 47, now 46.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
UNLV as road underdog
2026 overall: 4-5 ATS (9 games) · 4-5 O/U (9 games)
2026 as road underdog: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-2 ATS (2 games) · 1-1 O/U (2 games)
Since 2020: 13-8 ATS (21 games) · 8-13 O/U (21 games)
New Mexico as home favorite
2026 overall: 7-2 ATS (9 games) · 3-6 O/U (9 games)
2026 as home favorite: 4-0 ATS (4 games) · 2-2 O/U (4 games)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 1-4 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 9-7 ATS (16 games) · 8-8 O/U (16 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalNew Mexico · 7 of 9
374.6
Yards / game
362.6
2.14
Points / drive
2.42
3.1
TDs / game
4.2
42.6
3rd-down %
40.5
55.2
RZ TD %
72.2
-0.1
Turnover margin
2.0
2.0
Sacks / game
3.0
4.6
TFL / game
8.9
12.2
Havoc / game
17.4
41.3 / 58.7
Pass / Rush split
28.9 / 71.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When UNLV has the ball
UNLV's early-down offense ranks 98th of 138. New Mexico's early-down defense ranks 1st of 138.
UNLV's passing-down offense ranks 114th of 138. New Mexico's passing-down defense ranks 3rd of 138.
UNLV's third-down offense ranks 30th of 138. New Mexico's third-down defense ranks 35th of 138.
UNLV's red-zone offense ranks 115th of 138. New Mexico's red-zone defense ranks 7th of 138.
When New Mexico has the ball
New Mexico's early-down offense ranks 120th of 138. UNLV's early-down defense ranks 97th of 138.
New Mexico's passing-down offense ranks 125th of 138. UNLV's passing-down defense ranks 25th of 138.
New Mexico's third-down offense ranks 52nd of 138. UNLV's third-down defense ranks 55th of 138.
New Mexico's red-zone offense ranks 30th of 138. UNLV's red-zone defense ranks 45th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▲Offense form0.103 last 3 vs 0.002 season (+0.101)
▼Defense form0.212 last 3 vs -0.007 season (+0.220)
▼Offense form-0.103 last 3 vs 0.006 season (-0.109)
Defense formabout the same(-0.384 last 3 vs -0.394 season)
Away
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingJackson Arnold — 1738 yd, 15 TD
RushingJai'Den Thomas — 753 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingKayden McGee — 475 yd, 6 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingToa Fa'avae — 1041 yd, 7 TD
RushingScottre Humphrey — 647 yd, 13 TD
ReceivingCade Keith — 358 yd, 4 TD
2026 · Collision map
Where each offense meets the other defense — FBS rank first, season value after.
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Early downs
UNLV offense
98thof 138-0.057418 plays
vs
New Mexico defense · allowed
1stof 138-0.378UNLV defense · allowed
97thof 1380.031452 plays
vs
New Mexico offense
120thof 138-0.103339 plays
Passing downs
UNLV offense
114thof 138-0.115216 plays
vs
New Mexico defense · allowed
3rdof 138-0.337229 plays
UNLV defense · allowed
25thof 138-0.133206 plays
vs
New Mexico offense
125thof 138-0.175185 plays
Third down
UNLV offense
30thof 1380.218129 plays
vs
New Mexico defense · allowed
35thof 138-0.115121 plays
UNLV defense · allowed
55thof 138-0.009129 plays
vs
New Mexico offense
52ndof 1380.106116 plays
Red zone
UNLV offense
115thof 138-0.16491 plays
vs
New Mexico defense · allowed
7thof 138-0.40048 plays · small sample
UNLV defense · allowed
45thof 138-0.11685 plays
vs
New Mexico offense
30thof 1380.141114 plays
Field advancement
UNLV offense
83rdof 13844.9%vs
New Mexico defense · allowed
1stof 13827.0%UNLV defense · allowed
90thof 13846.6%vs
New Mexico offense
64thof 13848.4%Away
Home
UNLV Offense vs New Mexico DefenseNew Mexico · 11 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.06#82
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#70.44
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
0.005#70
556 plays
EPA/Play
#1-0.346
allowed · 405 plays
0.051#52
230 plays
EPA/Pass
#6-0.247
allowed · 207 plays
-0.027#91
326 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#1-0.451
allowed · 198 plays
43.5%#111
556 plays
Success Rate
#132.1%
allowed · 405 plays
42.2%#96
Pass Success Rate
#536.6%
allowed
44.5%#112
Rush Success Rate
#131.6%
allowed
44.9%#83
Available Yards %
#127.0%
allowed
70.4#68
Net Field Position
#974.3
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
-0.057#98
418 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#1-0.378
allowed
7.1#83
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#18.8
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
UNLV Defense vs New Mexico OffenseNew Mexico · 6 of 11
EPA/Drive is opponent-adjusted. Other metrics are raw 2026 season stats with FBS ranks. Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
Quality (opponent-adjusted)
-0.02#78
Defense rating (opp-adj), higher = better
EPA/Drive (opp-adj)
#540.09
Style / situational breakdown (raw 2026)
-0.007#70
allowed · 591 plays
EPA/Play
#85-0.018
448 plays
-0.162#19
allowed · 250 plays
EPA/Pass
#132-0.230
136 plays
0.106#113
allowed · 341 plays
EPA/Rush (sacks included)
#440.074
312 plays
44.5%#52
allowed · 591 plays
Success Rate
#5147.3%
448 plays
36.9%#6
allowed
Pass Success Rate
#5845.6%
50.3%#115
allowed
Rush Success Rate
#7448.1%
46.6%#90
allowed
Available Yards %
#6448.4%
71.7#56
Opponents' net field position (higher = better)
Net Field Position
#162.7
0.031#97
allowed · 452 plays
Early Downs EPA/Play
#120-0.103
339 plays
7.2#60
Opponents' avg 3rd-down distance (higher = better)
Avg 3rd Down Distance
#1247.8
2026 · Situational EPANew Mexico · 4 of 6
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best.
0.016
547 plays
Non-garbage · Off
-0.010
458 plays
0.010
585 plays
Non-garbage · Def (allowed)
-0.344
422 plays
-0.164
91 plays
Red Zone · Off
0.141
114 plays
-0.116
85 plays
Red Zone · Def (allowed)
-0.400
48 plays · small sample
0.218
129 plays
3rd Down · Off
0.106
116 plays
-0.009
129 plays
3rd Down · Def (allowed)
-0.116
121 plays