Fourth Down Data
Minnesota4-1 · Big Ten@Purdue2-3 · Big Ten
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Sat, Oct 10, 8:00 PM ET· Ross-Ade Stadium· Minnesota -4.5 · O/U 48.5
Rest 7d / 7dTravel 448 mi / 0 miForecast: 64°F · wind 8 mph · Partially cloudy
Market context
Minnesota -4.5 · O/U 48.5
Records vs the spread and total, in each team’s role for this game.
Minnesota as road favorite
2026 overall: 4-1 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
2026 as road favorite: none in this role
Last season (2025): 0-1 ATS (1 game) · 0-0-1 O/U (1 game)
Since 2020: 6-7 ATS (13 games) · 5-7-1 O/U (13 games)
Purdue as home underdog
2026 overall: 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 4-1 O/U (5 games)
2026 as home underdog: 1-1 ATS (2 games) · 2-0 O/U (2 games)
Last season (2025): 2-3 ATS (5 games) · 2-3 O/U (5 games)
Since 2020: 7-16 ATS (23 games) · 13-10 O/U (23 games)
Away
Home
2026 · TraditionalMinnesota · 5 of 9
354.6
Yards / game
405.8
2.30
Points / drive
2.93
3.2
TDs / game
3.2
38.6
3rd-down %
46.0
63.6
RZ TD %
54.2
0.6
Turnover margin
-0.2
2.8
Sacks / game
1.4
8.0
TFL / game
5.0
16.2
Havoc / game
10.2
51.1 / 48.9
Pass / Rush split
49.9 / 50.1
2026 · Situational matchup
When Minnesota has the ball
Minnesota's early-down offense ranks 125th of 138. Purdue's early-down defense ranks 133rd of 138.
Minnesota's passing-down offense ranks 137th of 138. Purdue's passing-down defense ranks 137th of 138.
Minnesota's third-down offense ranks 123rd of 138. Purdue's third-down defense ranks 118th of 138.
Minnesota's red-zone offense ranks 86th of 138. Purdue's red-zone defense ranks 99th of 138.
When Purdue has the ball
Purdue's early-down offense ranks 29th of 138. Minnesota's early-down defense ranks 24th of 138.
Purdue's passing-down offense ranks 29th of 138. Minnesota's passing-down defense ranks 65th of 138.
Purdue's third-down offense ranks 50th of 138. Minnesota's third-down defense ranks 24th of 138.
Purdue's red-zone offense ranks 122nd of 138. Minnesota's red-zone defense ranks 128th of 138.
What’s changed
Values are what the defense allowed. Ranks: 1st = best. Offense form is EPA per play gained.
▼Offense form-0.216 last 3 vs -0.096 season (-0.121)
▲Defense form-0.315 last 3 vs -0.125 season (-0.191)
▼Offense form0.045 last 3 vs 0.105 season (-0.060)
▼Defense form0.312 last 3 vs 0.188 season (+0.124)
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingDrake Lindsey — 1087 yd, 8 TD
RushingTJ Thomas — 307 yd, 1 TD
ReceivingNoah Jennings — 345 yd, 1 TD
Home
2026 · Stat leaders
PassingRyan Browne — 1390 yd, 8 TD
RushingFame Ijeboi — 354 yd, 6 TD
ReceivingAsaad Waseem — 453 yd, 1 TD